Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
{name}: tõenäosused reaalajas
No Next Chancellor before 2028
- Yes51%
- No50%
Volume $88.7K · Liquidity $41.2K
Hendrik Wüst
- Yes14%
- No87%
Volume $8.7K · Liquidity $29.4K
Markus Söder
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $17.6K
Boris Pistorius
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $2.2K · Liquidity $17.8K
Alice Weidel
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $18.7K
Lars Klingbeil
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $15.2K
Felix Banaszak
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $15.2K
Carsten Linnemann
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $14.8K
Heidi Reichinnek
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $873.9 · Liquidity $11.8K
Sahra Wagenknecht
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $783.8 · Liquidity $11.7K
Katharina Dröge
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $728.3 · Liquidity $11.6K
Tino Chrupalla
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $652.7 · Liquidity $11.7K
Jens Spahn
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $528.6 · Liquidity $11.6K
Person AD
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person W
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person A
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AN
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person R
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person S
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person T
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person B
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person G
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person H
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person I
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AU
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AV
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AW
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AX
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AY
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AC
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AF
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person K
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person U
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AE
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AI
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AJ
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AK
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AL
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AO
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AP
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AQ
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AR
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Z
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person D
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person E
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person F
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person M
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AA
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AM
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AS
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AT
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AZ
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Other
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person C
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person J
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person L
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person N
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person P
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Y
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person V
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person O
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Q
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person X
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AB
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AG
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AH
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Tulemuse määramise reeglid
Friedrich Merz has served as Chancellor of Germany since May 6, 2025. This market will resolve to the next individual, other than Friedrich Merz, who assumes the office of Chancellor of Germany. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected Chancellor by the Bundestag and appointed by the Federal President. Any acting or caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chancellor takes office, or if Friedrich Merz is the next individual elected Chancellor, by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Chancellor before 2028”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bundestag and the Federal Government of Germany; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Kuidas neid tõenäosusi tõlgendada
Iga hind jääb 0 ja 1 USA dollari vahele ning seda võib tõlgendada tõenäosusena, mille turg omistab konkreetsele tulemusele: 0,62 dollarit tähendab ligikaudu 62%. Hinnad muutuvad iga tehinguga, seega kajastavad need turuosaliste ühist hinnangut, mitte garantiid. Enne kauplemist tutvu ülaltoodud tulemuse määramise reeglitega ning kontrolli kauplemismahtu ja likviidsust. Riski ainult rahaga, mille kaotamist saad endale lubada.
Veel turge teemal Poliitika
Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Luca Niculescu: 95%
24h vol $68.9K · Ends 1. jaan 2028
Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Alberto Núñez Feijóo: 82%
24h vol $14.3K · Ends 1. apr 2028
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 48%
24h vol $285.8K · Ends 19. apr 2027
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance: 21%
24h vol $200.6K · Ends 8. nov 2028
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%
24h vol $139.6K · Ends 8. nov 2028
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 17%
24h vol $118.5K · Ends 8. nov 2028
Trump out as President before 2027?
No: 96%
24h vol $34.6K · Ends 1. jaan 2027
Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Chiang Wan-an: 62%
24h vol $17.1K · Ends 29. nov 2026
Ljubljana Mayoral Election Winner
Zoran Janković: 64%
24h vol $7.5K · Ends 16. nov 2026
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep: 63%
24h vol $415.2K · Ends 4. nov 2026
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
No Hormuz Agreement: 91%
24h vol $365.9K · Ends 4. nov 2026
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party: 65%
24h vol $181K · Ends 4. nov 2026