What will be in the UK Budget?
{name}: tõenäosused reaalajas
CGT increase
- Yes43%
- No57%
Volume $5.9K · Liquidity $1.2K
Fuel duty increase
- Yes25%
- No76%
Volume $3.4K · Liquidity $757.6
Land value tax
- Yes14%
- No87%
Volume $1K · Liquidity $460.3
Wealth tax
- Yes6%
- No95%
Volume $821.6 · Liquidity $321.7
Tulemuse määramise reeglid
The UK Autumn Budget 2026 is scheduled to be delivered to Parliament by Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healey on October 28, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed measure is announced in the 2026 Autumn Budget. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, the listed options are defined as follows: - Wealth tax: the introduction of an annual percentage-based levy on the value of a person's assets. - Land value tax: the introduction of a percentage-based levy on the value of a person's home. - Fuel duty increase: an increase to the rate of fuel duty. - CGT increase: an increase to any rate of capital gains tax. A measure will only count if it is announced in the Chancellor's Budget speech or contained in the official Budget documents published by HM Treasury on the day of the Budget. Measures that are only consulted on, reviewed, or otherwise not announced as government policy will not count. For the fuel duty option, the ending or non-renewal of the existing fuel duty freeze, such that the rate of fuel duty rises, will count as an increase. If the 2026 Autumn Budget is delayed beyond October 28, 2026, this market will resolve according to the Budget whenever it is delivered, provided it is delivered by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no Budget is delivered by that date, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from HM Treasury and the UK government, including the published Budget documents; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Kuidas neid tõenäosusi tõlgendada
Iga hind jääb 0 ja 1 USA dollari vahele ning seda võib tõlgendada tõenäosusena, mille turg omistab konkreetsele tulemusele: 0,62 dollarit tähendab ligikaudu 62%. Hinnad muutuvad iga tehinguga, seega kajastavad need turuosaliste ühist hinnangut, mitte garantiid. Enne kauplemist tutvu ülaltoodud tulemuse määramise reeglitega ning kontrolli kauplemismahtu ja likviidsust. Riski ainult rahaga, mille kaotamist saad endale lubada.
Veel turge teemal Majandus

UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
0.4–0.5%: 40%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 13. nov 2026

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
Yes: 53%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends 31. dets 2026

Fed Decision in October?
No change: 80%
24h vol $1.8M · Ends 29. okt 2026

Bank of Japan Decision in October?
No change: 96%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 30. okt 2026

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
No change: 91%
24h vol $9.4K · Ends 30. okt 2026

Bank of Canada Decision in October?
No Change: 84%
24h vol $5.6K · Ends 28. okt 2026

Central Bank of Chile decision in October
No change: 92%
24h vol $3K · Ends 27. okt 2026

Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 91%
24h vol $24.2K · Ends 1. nov 2026

3rd Largest Company end of October?
Alphabet: 76%
24h vol $8.9K · Ends 1. nov 2026

2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
Apple: 87%
24h vol $6.8K · Ends 1. nov 2026

USD x Iranian rials End of October?
2.8M+: 49%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends 1. nov 2026

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
5.32%: 62%
24h vol $2.5K · Ends 1. nov 2026

