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ThePolyAcademy
ET

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

{name}: tõenäosused reaalajas

  • Kenya

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $19.3K · Liquidity —

  • Republic of the Congo

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $16.6K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • United States

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $11.2K · Liquidity $2.2K

  • South Sudan

    • Yes36%
    • No64%

    Volume $5.1K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Nigeria

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $4.8K · Liquidity $3.4K

  • China

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $4.3K · Liquidity $4.4K

  • Rwanda

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $3.9K · Liquidity $450.2

  • Canada

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Uganda

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity —

  • India

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $868.3 · Liquidity $1.9K

  • Ethiopia

    • Yes14%
    • No87%

    Volume $584.8 · Liquidity $760.7

  • Somalia

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $539.1 · Liquidity $127

  • Burundi

    • Yes18%
    • No83%

    Volume $312.8 · Liquidity $74.1

Tulemuse määramise reeglid

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Kuidas neid tõenäosusi tõlgendada

Iga hind jääb 0 ja 1 USA dollari vahele ning seda võib tõlgendada tõenäosusena, mille turg omistab konkreetsele tulemusele: 0,62 dollarit tähendab ligikaudu 62%. Hinnad muutuvad iga tehinguga, seega kajastavad need turuosaliste ühist hinnangut, mitte garantiid. Enne kauplemist tutvu ülaltoodud tulemuse määramise reeglitega ning kontrolli kauplemismahtu ja likviidsust. Riski ainult rahaga, mille kaotamist saad endale lubada.

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