Will Russia capture Shevchenko by...?
Mercados
August 31
Cerrado- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $47.4K · Liquidez —
October 31
- Yes46%
- No55%
Volumen $30.6K · Liquidez $1.5K
Reglas de resolución
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.386699° N, 37.105096° E in Shevchenko, Donetsk Oblast, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map ( by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading under the following layers will qualify: - Assessed Russian-Controlled Terrain - Assessed Russian Advances Shading under the following layers will not qualify: - Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas - Claimed Russian Territory Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded under a qualifying layer on the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Intersection Location in Shevchenko: Shevchenko Location: Location on Google Maps: The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap ( may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Cómo leer estas probabilidades
Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.
Más mercados de Mundo

Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
Druzkhivka: 37%
Vol. 24h $7.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
June 30, 2027: 9%
Vol. 24h $5.4K · Cierra 1 jul 2027

Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?
October 7: 56%
Vol. 24h $83.6K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?
October 4: 95%
Vol. 24h $33.1K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?
Yes: 97%
Vol. 24h $26.5K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
December 31: 49%
Vol. 24h $21.5K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
October 15: 93%
Vol. 24h $14.4K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
October 7: 97%
Vol. 24h $12.7K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?
25-29: 42%
Vol. 24h $6.3K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

Will Iran target Iraq by...?
Yes: 100%
Vol. 24h $27K · Cierra 31 oct 2026

Bank of Japan Decision in October?
No change: 94%
Vol. 24h $1.9K · Cierra 30 oct 2026

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
No change: 84%
Vol. 24h $2.4K · Cierra 4 nov 2026

