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ThePolyAcademy
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Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Mercados

  • Reservists and New Economic Party

    • Yes50%
    • No51%

    Volumen $7K · Liquidez $2.2K

  • Amcha Yisrael

    • Yes44%
    • No56%

    Volumen $6.9K · Liquidez $761.3

  • RZP-Zehut

    • Yes93%
    • No7%

    Volumen $5.5K · Liquidez $15.1K

  • Blue & White

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volumen $2K · Liquidez $17.4K

  • Ra'am

    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volumen $1.1K · Liquidez $17.8K

Reglas de resolución

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (

Cómo leer estas probabilidades

Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.

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