Mercados de predicción de Mundo
Geopolítica y eventos globales.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro: 80%
Vol. 24h $3.3M · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $1.4M · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 52%
Vol. 24h $972.3K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 44%
Vol. 24h $691K · Cierra 19 abr 2027
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
Yes: 100%
Vol. 24h $564.6K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
France declares state of emergency by...?
December 31: 8%
Vol. 24h $248K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 24: 99%
Vol. 24h $230.4K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No: 98%
Vol. 24h $223.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Iotova <10%: 63%
Vol. 24h $203.8K · Cierra 25 oct 2026
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $198.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 81%
Vol. 24h $193.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova: 77%
Vol. 24h $144.4K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $104.7K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31: 33%
Vol. 24h $71.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31: 19%
Vol. 24h $70.9K · Cierra 3 ene 2027
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
October 26: 93%
Vol. 24h $63K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $42.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31: 14%
Vol. 24h $35K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China: 77%
Vol. 24h $33.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31: 9%
Vol. 24h $30.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027: 11%
Vol. 24h $30.4K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?
December 31: 3%
Vol. 24h $30K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Iran full airspace closure by...?
December 31: 40%
Vol. 24h $28.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
December 31: 31%
Vol. 24h $27.2K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?
Opp.: 62%
Vol. 24h $17.4K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
Netanyahu out by...?
No: 59%
Vol. 24h $17.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?
December 31: 16%
Vol. 24h $15.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Spain General Election Winner
PP: 77%
Vol. 24h $15K · Cierra 30 nov 2026
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
December 31: 20%
Vol. 24h $14.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No: 94%
Vol. 24h $13.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027: 93%
Vol. 24h $13.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31, 2027: 53%
Vol. 24h $13.6K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena Andersson: 76%
Vol. 24h $12.7K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
December 31, 2027: 40%
Vol. 24h $12.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Israeli Minister of National Security?
Person T: 50%
Vol. 24h $10.9K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Person U: 50%
Vol. 24h $10.4K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $9.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027
Committee to Protect Journalists: 10%
Vol. 24h $7.9K · Cierra 1 abr 2028
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?
No: 98%
Vol. 24h $6.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei: 85%
Vol. 24h $6.7K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
Person W: 50%
Vol. 24h $6.5K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Iran Nuke before 2027?
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $6.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout
78-80%: 59%
Vol. 24h $6.2K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?
No: 83%
Vol. 24h $6.1K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Vladimir Putin: 82%
Vol. 24h $6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
June 30, 2027: 9%
Vol. 24h $5.5K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Yes: 79%
Vol. 24h $5.5K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Candidate G: 50%
Vol. 24h $5.4K · Cierra 18 abr 2027