Mercados de predicción de Mundo
Geopolítica y eventos globales.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Benjamin Netanyahu: 44%
Vol. 24h $15.2M · Cierra 28 oct 2026

France declares state of emergency by...?
December 31: 7%
Vol. 24h $635.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 43%
Vol. 24h $610.4K · Cierra 19 abr 2027

Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?
No: 98%
Vol. 24h $377.5K · Cierra 28 oct 2026

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 27: 100%
Vol. 24h $347.1K · Cierra 31 dic 2026

Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?
Benjamin Netanyahu: 67%
Vol. 24h $156K · Cierra 28 oct 2026

Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?
Bibi: 99%
Vol. 24h $148.3K · Cierra 28 oct 2026

Netanyahu out by...?
June 30, 2027: 33%
Vol. 24h $118.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
4: 66%
Vol. 24h $79.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $78.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 82%
Vol. 24h $77.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027: 10%
Vol. 24h $69.9K · Cierra 1 jul 2027

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
Ursula von der Leyen: 57%
Vol. 24h $68.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 94%
Vol. 24h $61.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Bank of Japan Decision in October?
No change: 99%
Vol. 24h $54K · Cierra 30 oct 2026

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China: 80%
Vol. 24h $42.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31: 17%
Vol. 24h $40.8K · Cierra 3 ene 2027

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31: 32%
Vol. 24h $40.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
No: 98%
Vol. 24h $39.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31: 13%
Vol. 24h $39.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31: 10%
Vol. 24h $36.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No: 98%
Vol. 24h $32.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by...?
March 31, 2027: 20%
Vol. 24h $28.4K · Cierra 1 abr 2027

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31, 2027: 53%
Vol. 24h $26.4K · Cierra 31 dic 2026

Yoon out of custody before 2027?
No: 97%
Vol. 24h $26.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027: 92%
Vol. 24h $25.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?
December 31: 3%
Vol. 24h $22.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $20.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
No: 93%
Vol. 24h $19.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Iran full airspace closure by...?
December 31: 41%
Vol. 24h $19K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Person M: 50%
Vol. 24h $18.7K · Cierra 1 mar 2027

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
December 31: 35%
Vol. 24h $15.8K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

Brazil presidential election annulled by December 31?
No: 93%
Vol. 24h $15.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
Person K: 50%
Vol. 24h $13.8K · Cierra 1 mar 2027

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
25 bps increase: 81%
Vol. 24h $13.4K · Cierra 4 nov 2026

Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei: 86%
Vol. 24h $12.9K · Cierra 31 dic 2026

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?
Person X: 50%
Vol. 24h $12.8K · Cierra 1 mar 2027

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?
Yashar: 63%
Vol. 24h $11.6K · Cierra 30 jun 2027

France defaults on debt by December 31, 2027?
No: 92%
Vol. 24h $11.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2028

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
Kuomintang (KMT): 70%
Vol. 24h $11.1K · Cierra 29 nov 2026

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Vladimir Putin: 83%
Vol. 24h $10.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
December 31: 25%
Vol. 24h $10K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027
Jimmy Lai: 14%
Vol. 24h $9.5K · Cierra 1 abr 2028

Iran Nuke before 2027?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $9.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

