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ThePolyAcademy
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Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Mercados

  • October 31

    Cerrado
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volumen $159.1K · Liquidez —

  • December 31, 2025

    Cerrado
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volumen $129.2K · Liquidez —

  • June 30, 2026

    Cerrado
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volumen $26.6K · Liquidez $0

  • December 31, 2026

    • Yes28%
    • No73%

    Volumen $20.2K · Liquidez $14.3K

  • September 30, 2026

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volumen $11.2K · Liquidez $14.1K

  • August 31, 2026

    Cerrado
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volumen $5.2K · Liquidez —

  • November 30

    Cerrado
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volumen $5.2K · Liquidez $0

  • July 31, 2026

    Cerrado
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volumen $1.2K · Liquidez $0

Reglas de resolución

On September 9, French President Emmanuel Macron named Sébastien Lecornu as the new French Prime Minister. He resigned on October 6 after his cabinet faced severe opposition. On October 10, President Emmanuel Macron reappointed him as Prime Minister, tasking him with forming a new government. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sébastien Lecornu is no longer serving as Prime Minister of France for any length of time between October 10 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Cómo leer estas probabilidades

Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.

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