Mercados de predicción de Mundo
Geopolítica y eventos globales.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro: 81%
Vol. 24h $1.6M · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 54%
Vol. 24h $487K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 18: 98%
Vol. 24h $372.1K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $341.7K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 48%
Vol. 24h $280.8K · Cierra 19 abr 2027
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31: 26%
Vol. 24h $276K · Cierra 3 ene 2027
Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?
October 19: 89%
Vol. 24h $156K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No: 98%
Vol. 24h $81K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No: 97%
Vol. 24h $76.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 85%
Vol. 24h $70.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31: 31%
Vol. 24h $60.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31: 8%
Vol. 24h $53.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027: 10%
Vol. 24h $40.5K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
October 21: 90%
Vol. 24h $31.2K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
December 31: 33%
Vol. 24h $30.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Iotova 20-30%: 57%
Vol. 24h $29K · Cierra 25 oct 2026
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
No Next Chancellor before 2028: 51%
Vol. 24h $24.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
No change: 96%
Vol. 24h $21.9K · Cierra 30 oct 2026
Iran full airspace closure by...?
December 31: 33%
Vol. 24h $20.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China: 76%
Vol. 24h $19K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31: 13%
Vol. 24h $17.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $17.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027: 97%
Vol. 24h $15.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
NATO article 5 before 2027?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $15K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei: 87%
Vol. 24h $14.6K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
No: 97%
Vol. 24h $14.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?
6-7%: 34%
Vol. 24h $13.2K · Cierra 27 oct 2026
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 31: 17%
Vol. 24h $11.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
December 31, 2027: 42%
Vol. 24h $11.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory
Remain 40–60%: 66%
Vol. 24h $11.2K · Cierra 20 oct 2026
New pandemic in 2026?
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $10.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?
October 4: 79%
Vol. 24h $10.3K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?
March 31, 2027: 18%
Vol. 24h $9.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Eritrea invades Ethiopia by...?
December 31: 11%
Vol. 24h $9.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Russia military action against EU country by...?
December 31, 2027: 20%
Vol. 24h $9K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31: 72%
Vol. 24h $8.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
Kuomintang (KMT): 64%
Vol. 24h $8.8K · Cierra 29 nov 2026
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $8.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland: 12%
Vol. 24h $8.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $8.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Modi out by June 30, 2027?
No: 91%
Vol. 24h $6.7K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Iran Nuke before 2027?
No: 97%
Vol. 24h $5.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
No: 98%
Vol. 24h $5.2K · Cierra 20 oct 2026
Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?
December 31: 96%
Vol. 24h $5.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Israeli Minister of National Security?
Person P: 50%
Vol. 24h $4.9K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
Person I: 50%
Vol. 24h $4.7K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?
December 31: 14%
Vol. 24h $4.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Vladimir Putin: 81%
Vol. 24h $3.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027