Mercados de predicción de Mundo
Geopolítica y eventos globales.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro: 85%
Vol. 24h $874.2K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 44%
Vol. 24h $516.9K · Cierra 19 abr 2027
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 15: 98%
Vol. 24h $456.8K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $254.8K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31: 8%
Vol. 24h $152.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 49%
Vol. 24h $97.3K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No: 98%
Vol. 24h $80.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
October 15: 96%
Vol. 24h $78.1K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31: 28%
Vol. 24h $63.2K · Cierra 3 ene 2027
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 84%
Vol. 24h $59.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
December 31: 37%
Vol. 24h $59.2K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31: 32%
Vol. 24h $52.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No: 97%
Vol. 24h $47.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?
October 4: 80%
Vol. 24h $39.5K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
December 31: 30%
Vol. 24h $39.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027: 10%
Vol. 24h $36.1K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?
October 16: 87%
Vol. 24h $35.5K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $32.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?
October 12: 96%
Vol. 24h $30.4K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland: 17%
Vol. 24h $29.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31: 13%
Vol. 24h $27.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No: 94%
Vol. 24h $24.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
Kuomintang (KMT): 76%
Vol. 24h $24.3K · Cierra 29 nov 2026
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31: 76%
Vol. 24h $21.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31: 10%
Vol. 24h $15.4K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
No change: 96%
Vol. 24h $13.9K · Cierra 30 oct 2026
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
No change: 74%
Vol. 24h $12.9K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory
Remain 40–60%: 56%
Vol. 24h $11.8K · Cierra 20 oct 2026
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $11.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?
October 31: 94%
Vol. 24h $10.7K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by...?
No: 100%
Vol. 24h $9.4K · Cierra 16 oct 2026
Will Iran target Iraq by...?
October 31: 92%
Vol. 24h $9K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
Person Z: 50%
Vol. 24h $8.1K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Russia military action against EU country by...?
December 31, 2027: 18%
Vol. 24h $7.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova: 87%
Vol. 24h $7.2K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei: 87%
Vol. 24h $6.5K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Mohammed bin Salman: 80%
Vol. 24h $6.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?
December 31: 96%
Vol. 24h $5.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $5.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Spain General Election Winner
PP: 85%
Vol. 24h $5.1K · Cierra 30 nov 2026
Netanyahu out by...?
No: 61%
Vol. 24h $5.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?
The Democrats: 54%
Vol. 24h $4.9K · Cierra 30 jun 2027
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $4.9K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
December 31, 2027: 49%
Vol. 24h $4.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Person P: 50%
Vol. 24h $4.3K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027: 96%
Vol. 24h $3.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $3.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Justice?
Person Y: 50%
Vol. 24h $3.5K · Cierra 1 mar 2027