Mercados de predicción de Mundo
Geopolítica y eventos globales.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro: 76%
Vol. 24h $1.1M · Cierra 26 oct 2026
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31: 42%
Vol. 24h $852.9K · Cierra 3 ene 2027
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
November 30: 100%
Vol. 24h $659.6K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $527.2K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 49%
Vol. 24h $500.6K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 24: 94%
Vol. 24h $316.9K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
France declares state of emergency by...?
December 31: 14%
Vol. 24h $299.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027: 11%
Vol. 24h $235.2K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 46%
Vol. 24h $212.4K · Cierra 19 abr 2027
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Iotova 10-20%: 57%
Vol. 24h $150.5K · Cierra 25 oct 2026
Iran full airspace closure by...?
December 31: 42%
Vol. 24h $131.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31, 2027: 53%
Vol. 24h $130.6K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $116.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova: 88%
Vol. 24h $110.4K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No: 98%
Vol. 24h $68.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31: 9%
Vol. 24h $65.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31: 14%
Vol. 24h $64.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 84%
Vol. 24h $62.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Iran coup attempt by...?
December 31, 2027: 34%
Vol. 24h $54.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Spain General Election Winner
PP: 75%
Vol. 24h $35.8K · Cierra 30 nov 2026
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027: 92%
Vol. 24h $35.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
June 30, 2027: 9%
Vol. 24h $31.6K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No: 97%
Vol. 24h $31.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
October 28: 86%
Vol. 24h $27.8K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $27.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31: 34%
Vol. 24h $26.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $24K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
December 31, 2027: 42%
Vol. 24h $23.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Vladimir Putin: 84%
Vol. 24h $20.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027
Melania Trump: 14%
Vol. 24h $19.2K · Cierra 1 abr 2028
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?
25-29: 82%
Vol. 24h $18.5K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No: 94%
Vol. 24h $16.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
Person X: 50%
Vol. 24h $12.2K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?
December 31: 3%
Vol. 24h $11.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Justice?
Person H: 50%
Vol. 24h $10.8K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
No change: 97%
Vol. 24h $10.7K · Cierra 30 oct 2026
Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?
October 29: 70%
Vol. 24h $10K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?
October 16: 88%
Vol. 24h $9.9K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
December 31, 2027: 35%
Vol. 24h $9.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena Andersson: 77%
Vol. 24h $7.8K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?
No: 86%
Vol. 24h $7.1K · Cierra 1 dic 2026
Next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Person P: 50%
Vol. 24h $6.9K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei: 86%
Vol. 24h $6.5K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?
Yes: 87%
Vol. 24h $5.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
No: 91%
Vol. 24h $5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China: 80%
Vol. 24h $5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?
Gadi Eizenkot: 60%
Vol. 24h $4.8K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?
Opp.: 63%
Vol. 24h $4.5K · Cierra 28 oct 2026