Saltar al contenido
ThePolyAcademy
EN

Who will be Trump's AI "czar" in 2026?

Mercados

  • Jay Clayton

    • Yes26%
    • No75%

    Volumen $5.5K · Liquidez $757.3

  • Sriram Krishnan

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volumen $384 · Liquidez $226.2

  • Sean Cairncross

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volumen $363 · Liquidez $466.8

  • Michael Kratsios

    • Yes10%
    • No91%

    Volumen $322 · Liquidez $496.8

  • No Czar by December 31

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volumen $274.4 · Liquidez $572.9

  • Chamath Palihapitiya

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volumen $274.2 · Liquidez $185.3

  • Scott Kupor

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volumen $250.5 · Liquidez $182.8

  • Emil Michael

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volumen $194.4 · Liquidez $207.1

  • Person X

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Person B

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Person C

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Person D

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Person E

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Person F

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Person G

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Person H

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Person I

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Person J

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Person K

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Person L

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Person M

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Person N

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Person O

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Person P

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Person Q

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Person R

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Person S

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Person T

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Person U

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Person V

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Person W

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Person Y

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Person Z

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

  • Other

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volumen $0 · Liquidez $0

Reglas de resolución

This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be AI czar. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to appoint a specific individual as AI czar will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal appointment actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the AI czar or future AI czar. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. An announcement will qualify regardless of the name used to refer to AI, including "super intelligence" (SI). However, the person must be announced as the "czar" or a derivative thereof. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for AI czar by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Czar by December 31”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cómo leer estas probabilidades

Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.

Calculadoras de probabilidad · Glosario · Cursos gratuitos

Más mercados de Tecnología