Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?
Mercados
Google
- Yes29%
- No71%
Volumen $16.2K · Liquidez $255.6
Moonshot
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volumen $13.1K · Liquidez $361.5
Mistral
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volumen $11.7K · Liquidez $847.6
Amazon
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volumen $11.1K · Liquidez $392.8
Microsoft
- Yes32%
- No69%
Volumen $8.6K · Liquidez $213.2
SpaceXAI
- Yes18%
- No83%
Volumen $7.1K · Liquidez $169.6
Alibaba
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volumen $6.1K · Liquidez $435.2
Meta
- Yes21%
- No79%
Volumen $5.5K · Liquidez $180.8
ByteDance
- Yes9%
- No92%
Volumen $4.9K · Liquidez $479.2
DeepSeek
- Yes7%
- No94%
Volumen $4.3K · Liquidez $454.2
Z.ai
- Yes8%
- No93%
Volumen $2.9K · Liquidez $478.6
Baidu
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volumen $1.9K · Liquidez $458.6
Meituan
- Yes10%
- No91%
Volumen $1.5K · Liquidez $508.3
Reglas de resolución
On September 12, 2026, Anthropic committed to giving embedded third-party evaluators permanent, ongoing, employee-level access to its AI models and training processes. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces a commitment to grant one or more third-party evaluators ongoing employee-level access to its systems, AI models, and training processes during development by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Arrangements limited to evaluating models before release will not qualify. Current agreements with the Center for AI Standards and Innovation (CAISI) to provide pre-deployment access to AI models will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. Statements that endorse third-party evaluation, describe it as under consideration, or express an intention to explore or discuss it will not qualify. A commitment made as part of a broader agreement with other companies or with a government will qualify, provided the listed company is a party to it and it otherwise meets the requirements above. If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the commitment is binding, is later modified or withdrawn, or is ever implemented. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Cómo leer estas probabilidades
Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.
Más mercados de Tecnología

Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google: 72%
Vol. 24h $414.2K · Cierra 31 oct 2026

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?
September 30, 2026: 100%
Vol. 24h $306K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

Gemini 4.0 released by...?
November 30: 97%
Vol. 24h $240.6K · Cierra 1 dic 2026

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Anthropic: 51%
Vol. 24h $159.2K · Cierra 31 dic 2026

Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2027: 32%
Vol. 24h $109.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2028

Which company has the best AI model end of September?
Anthropic: 100%
Vol. 24h $95.8K · Cierra 30 sept 2026

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Xiaomi: 100%
Vol. 24h $94.4K · Cierra 30 sept 2026

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2027: 30%
Vol. 24h $88.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2028

Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2027: 34%
Vol. 24h $81.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2028

Largest Company end of September?
NVIDIA: 100%
Vol. 24h $68.4K · Cierra 1 oct 2026

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
October 31: 54%
Vol. 24h $68.2K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by September 30: 99%
Vol. 24h $51.9K · Cierra 1 oct 2026

