GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...?
Mercados
October 31
- Yes100%
- No0%
Volumen $4.9K · Liquidez $1.1K
September 30
Cerrado- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $1.7K · Liquidez —
August 31
Cerrado- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $1.2K · Liquidez —
Reglas de resolución
This market will resolve to “Yes” if GitHub's Git Operations service experiences an incident with an impact classified as “critical” between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An incident will qualify if the official GitHub Status Page (githubstatus.com) or the official GitHub Status API (githubstatus.com/api) classifies the incident's impact as “critical” and lists Git Operations among the incident's affected components ones the incident is marked “Resolved”. GitHub classifies incident impact as None, Minor, Major, or Critical; only an impact of Critical will qualify. Component status labels (e.g. “Degraded Performance,” “Partial Outage,” or “Major Outage”) will have no bearing on this market absent a qualifying critical incident. Revisions published after an incident is marked “Resolved” will not be considered. If an incident that began before 11:59 PM ET on the listed date remains unresolved at that time, this market will remain open and resolve at the earlier of: (i) when the incident is officially resolved, or (ii) the end of the seventh calendar day (ET) after the listed date, at which point the market will resolve based on the official information available at that time. Incidents that do not list Git Operations among their affected components, including incidents that list no affected components, will not qualify. Scheduled maintenance will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official GitHub system-status information published at including the official GitHub Status API ( however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Cómo leer estas probabilidades
Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.
Más mercados de Tecnología

Longest GitHub critical incident in October?
6-12 hours: 46%
Vol. 24h $5.2K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?
5+: 24%
Vol. 24h $3.7K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

Next Claude Haiku (4.6+) released on...?
October 7: 100%
Vol. 24h $14.5K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
November 30: 47%
Vol. 24h $10.5K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
October 14: 23%
Vol. 24h $5.1K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 96%
Vol. 24h $3.8K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?
October 15: 99%
Vol. 24h $3.5K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by October 31: 76%
Vol. 24h $3.2K · Cierra 31 oct 2026

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?
No release by October 31: 28%
Vol. 24h $2.9K · Cierra 31 oct 2026

Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google: 69%
Vol. 24h $91.5K · Cierra 31 oct 2026

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Company L: 50%
Vol. 24h $2.9K · Cierra 31 oct 2026

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
No release by November 1: 74%
Vol. 24h $17.6K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

