Mercados de predicción de Política
Elecciones, legislación y eventos políticos valorados por la multitud.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 56%
Vol. 24h $2M · Cierra 28 oct 2026
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party: 92%
Vol. 24h $2M · Cierra 4 nov 2026
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 24: 100%
Vol. 24h $1.2M · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
Yashar: 71%
Vol. 24h $1M · Cierra 28 oct 2026
France declares state of emergency by...?
December 31: 8%
Vol. 24h $906.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep: 66%
Vol. 24h $824K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance: 20%
Vol. 24h $647.4K · Cierra 8 nov 2028
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 44%
Vol. 24h $599.3K · Cierra 19 abr 2027
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%
Vol. 24h $475.4K · Cierra 8 nov 2028
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31: 4%
Vol. 24h $439.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?
320-339: 53%
Vol. 24h $426.5K · Cierra 27 oct 2026
Texas Senate Election Winner
James Talarico (D): 65%
Vol. 24h $322.4K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No: 76%
Vol. 24h $248.4K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 31: 60%
Vol. 24h $232.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?
October 31: 99%
Vol. 24h $231.5K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
California Governor Election Winner
Xavier Becerra: 96%
Vol. 24h $211.9K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
20-24: 45%
Vol. 24h $186.1K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
Next leader out of power before 2027?
None before 2027: 44%
Vol. 24h $185K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 82%
Vol. 24h $171.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party: 65%
Vol. 24h $168.7K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro: 81%
Vol. 24h $153.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate
Candidate S: 50%
Vol. 24h $149.4K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
Olivia Chow: 83%
Vol. 24h $147.4K · Cierra 27 oct 2026
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 17%
Vol. 24h $139.3K · Cierra 8 nov 2028
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027: 10%
Vol. 24h $134.7K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
320-339: 21%
Vol. 24h $132.1K · Cierra 30 oct 2026
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Abdul El-Sayed (D): 69%
Vol. 24h $107.5K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Texas Governor Election Winner
Greg Abbott (R): 68%
Vol. 24h $102K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
No: 100%
Vol. 24h $97.9K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 94%
Vol. 24h $91.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Chiang Wan-an: 65%
Vol. 24h $87K · Cierra 29 nov 2026
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?
November 30: 50%
Vol. 24h $80.7K · Cierra 30 nov 2026
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?
No: 72%
Vol. 24h $75.5K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤47: 42%
Vol. 24h $75.4K · Cierra 3 nov 2026
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No: 98%
Vol. 24h $71.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $70.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena Andersson: 74%
Vol. 24h $66.7K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Ohio Senate Election Winner
Sherrod Brown (D): 68%
Vol. 24h $62.8K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Ohio Governor Election Winner
Amy Acton (D): 83%
Vol. 24h $62K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 26 - October 28, 2026?
65-89: 37%
Vol. 24h $61.9K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
No: 72%
Vol. 24h $61.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
South Carolina Senate Election Winner
Darline Graham Nordone (R): 78%
Vol. 24h $60K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
December 31: 79%
Vol. 24h $55.6K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place
Together: 78%
Vol. 24h $55.1K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027
Committee to Protect Journalists: 11%
Vol. 24h $52.1K · Cierra 1 abr 2028
FL-25 House Election Winner
Jared Moskowitz (D): 80%
Vol. 24h $51.3K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
NJ-02 House Election Winner
Jeff Van Drew (R): 75%
Vol. 24h $50.6K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Nevada Governor Election Winner
Aaron Ford (D): 69%
Vol. 24h $47.9K · Cierra 4 nov 2026