Mercados de predicción de Política
Elecciones, legislación y eventos políticos valorados por la multitud.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 57%
Vol. 24h $3.2M · Cierra 28 oct 2026
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Democrats Sweep: 66%
Vol. 24h $1.2M · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Israeli Legislative Election Winner
Yashar: 72%
Vol. 24h $1.2M · Cierra 28 oct 2026
France declares state of emergency by...?
December 31: 10%
Vol. 24h $995.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%
Vol. 24h $676.2K · Cierra 8 nov 2028
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 44%
Vol. 24h $637.5K · Cierra 19 abr 2027
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 24: 100%
Vol. 24h $601.4K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party: 92%
Vol. 24h $592.2K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?
320-339: 64%
Vol. 24h $510.7K · Cierra 27 oct 2026
Presidential Election Winner 2028
JD Vance: 19%
Vol. 24h $395.1K · Cierra 8 nov 2028
Texas Senate Election Winner
James Talarico (D): 67%
Vol. 24h $381.7K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 31: 60%
Vol. 24h $341.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
20-24: 40%
Vol. 24h $270.2K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
Next leader out of power before 2027?
None before 2027: 45%
Vol. 24h $244.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Gavin Newsom: 17%
Vol. 24h $241K · Cierra 8 nov 2028
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31: 4%
Vol. 24h $179.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?
November 30: 56%
Vol. 24h $172.6K · Cierra 30 nov 2026
California Governor Election Winner
Xavier Becerra: 97%
Vol. 24h $168.8K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
320-339: 26%
Vol. 24h $163.8K · Cierra 30 oct 2026
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party: 66%
Vol. 24h $161.8K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Maine Senate Election Winner
Troy Jackson (D): 61%
Vol. 24h $152.3K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro: 81%
Vol. 24h $147.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Texas Governor Election Winner
Greg Abbott (R): 69%
Vol. 24h $116.1K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?
No: 70%
Vol. 24h $115.3K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola: 74%
Vol. 24h $101.2K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Abdul El-Sayed (D): 68%
Vol. 24h $99.6K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027: 10%
Vol. 24h $99.4K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Elon Musk # tweets October 26 - October 28, 2026?
90-114: 43%
Vol. 24h $98.9K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?
October 31: 98%
Vol. 24h $84.1K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 94%
Vol. 24h $83.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Arizona Governor Election Winner
Katie Hobbs (D): 89%
Vol. 24h $82.3K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?
Oil ≥ $80; D Senate: 65%
Vol. 24h $81.4K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
No Hormuz Agreement: 94%
Vol. 24h $76.7K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place
Together: 84%
Vol. 24h $70.1K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
Florida Governor Election Winner
Byron Donalds (R) : 81%
Vol. 24h $65.4K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 82%
Vol. 24h $63.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?
300-319: 14%
Vol. 24h $62.9K · Cierra 3 nov 2026
Ohio Senate Election Winner
Sherrod Brown (D): 69%
Vol. 24h $62.9K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Mississippi Senate Election Winner
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R): 87%
Vol. 24h $62.7K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤47: 42%
Vol. 24h $61.5K · Cierra 3 nov 2026
Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Alberto Núñez Feijóo: 82%
Vol. 24h $61.1K · Cierra 30 nov 2026
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
Yes: 85%
Vol. 24h $60.6K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
NJ-02 House Election Winner
Jeff Van Drew (R): 72%
Vol. 24h $59K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
South Carolina Senate Election Winner
Darline Graham Nordone (R): 78%
Vol. 24h $57.6K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
Thom Tillis: 11%
Vol. 24h $53.1K · Cierra 2 ene 2027
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $52.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Kansas Senate Election Winner
Roger Marshall (R): 62%
Vol. 24h $49.7K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
AZ-01 House Election Winner
Amish Shah (D): 79%
Vol. 24h $45.4K · Cierra 4 nov 2026