Mercados de predicción de Economía
Tasas de interés, inflación, empleo y eventos macroeconómicos.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Fed Decision in October?
No change: 95%
Vol. 24h $4.2M · Cierra 29 oct 2026
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
↓ $100: 85%
Vol. 24h $198.3K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No: 89%
Vol. 24h $123.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$1.75–$2.0T: 30%
Vol. 24h $116.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 77%
Vol. 24h $74.9K · Cierra 10 dic 2026
Anthropic IPO by __?
December 31, 2026: 82%
Vol. 24h $66.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$1.5T: 87%
Vol. 24h $26.3K · Cierra 5 ene 2027
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 96%
Vol. 24h $23.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
US recession by end of 2026?
No: 92%
Vol. 24h $22.2K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?
↑ $4,100: 43%
Vol. 24h $19.4K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.70%: 87%
Vol. 24h $17.8K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Crude Oil all time high by...?
March 31, 2027: 27%
Vol. 24h $17.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in November 2026?
↑ $100: 90%
Vol. 24h $15.6K · Cierra 1 dic 2026
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 66%
Vol. 24h $15.1K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Hike–Pause–Hike: 74%
Vol. 24h $15K · Cierra 9 dic 2026
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?
Up: 69%
Vol. 24h $13.7K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Fed Decision in January?
No change: 68%
Vol. 24h $12.8K · Cierra 28 ene 2027
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
$1.50–$1.75T: 62%
Vol. 24h $11.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No: 94%
Vol. 24h $10.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Bank of Brazil decision in December?
No Change: 49%
Vol. 24h $10.4K · Cierra 9 dic 2026
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
4.80%: 100%
Vol. 24h $9.9K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 64%
Vol. 24h $9.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 5.25%: 88%
Vol. 24h $9.2K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
Apple: 67%
Vol. 24h $9.1K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
<$1T: 28%
Vol. 24h $8.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Bank of Brazil decision in November?
No Change: 60%
Vol. 24h $8.4K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
IPOs before 2027?
Anthropic: 81%
Vol. 24h $8.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026?
↑ $56: 53%
Vol. 24h $7.9K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 77%
Vol. 24h $7.8K · Cierra 10 dic 2026
US economic state at the end of 2026?
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%): 97%
Vol. 24h $7.8K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.3%: 44%
Vol. 24h $7.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on October 26?
$96: 96%
Vol. 24h $7.1K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
↑ $4,500: 50%
Vol. 24h $6.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.40%: 81%
Vol. 24h $6.1K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
3.0-3.5%: 36%
Vol. 24h $4.6K · Cierra 30 oct 2026
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.9%: 78%
Vol. 24h $4.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
5.0%: 7%
Vol. 24h $3.8K · Cierra 1 abr 2027
Fed rate cut by...?
July 2027 Meeting: 50%
Vol. 24h $3.7K · Cierra 29 ene 2028
Gas prices on October 26?
$4.2800-4.2899: 96%
Vol. 24h $3.7K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Brazil Annual Inflation 2026
5.00-5.49%: 51%
Vol. 24h $3.5K · Cierra 13 ene 2027
EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?
30M+: 96%
Vol. 24h $3.5K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?
No change: 86%
Vol. 24h $3.3K · Cierra 5 nov 2026
October Inflation China - Annual
0.7% to 0.8%: 40%
Vol. 24h $3.1K · Cierra 9 nov 2026
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
25 bps increase: 92%
Vol. 24h $2.9K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
25 bps increase: 82%
Vol. 24h $2.8K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - November 2026
46.0 to 48.9: 45%
Vol. 24h $2.7K · Cierra 20 nov 2026
ISM Services PMI - October 2026
53.0 to 53.9: 26%
Vol. 24h $2.7K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
USD x Iranian rials End of October?
2.8M+: 35%
Vol. 24h $2.7K · Cierra 1 nov 2026