Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
Mercados
September 3
Cerrado- Yes100%
- No0%
Volumen $55K · Liquidez —
September 4
Cerrado- Yes100%
- No0%
Volumen $5.9K · Liquidez —
September 27
- Yes28%
- No72%
Volumen $5.3K · Liquidez $172.6
September 24
- Yes93%
- No8%
Volumen $4K · Liquidez $139
September 7
Cerrado- Yes100%
- No0%
Volumen $3.9K · Liquidez —
September 29
- Yes80%
- No20%
Volumen $3.8K · Liquidez $1.1K
September 16
Cerrado- Yes100%
- No0%
Volumen $3.7K · Liquidez —
September 11
Cerrado- Yes100%
- No0%
Volumen $3.5K · Liquidez —
September 9
Cerrado- Yes100%
- No0%
Volumen $3K · Liquidez —
September 25
Cerrado- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $2.6K · Liquidez —
September 5
Cerrado- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $2.3K · Liquidez —
September 10
Cerrado- Yes100%
- No0%
Volumen $2.1K · Liquidez —
September 6
Cerrado- Yes100%
- No0%
Volumen $1.9K · Liquidez —
September 17
Cerrado- Yes100%
- No0%
Volumen $1.9K · Liquidez —
September 8
Cerrado- Yes100%
- No0%
Volumen $1.4K · Liquidez —
September 23
- Yes36%
- No64%
Volumen $1.4K · Liquidez $60.4
September 26
Cerrado- Yes100%
- No0%
Volumen $1.4K · Liquidez —
September 18
Cerrado- Yes100%
- No0%
Volumen $1.3K · Liquidez —
September 30
Cerrado- Yes100%
- No0%
Volumen $1.2K · Liquidez —
September 13
Cerrado- Yes100%
- No0%
Volumen $1.2K · Liquidez —
September 14
Cerrado- Yes100%
- No0%
Volumen $982.4 · Liquidez —
September 20
Cerrado- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $932.9 · Liquidez —
September 28
Cerrado- Yes100%
- No0%
Volumen $796.6 · Liquidez —
September 22
Cerrado- Yes100%
- No0%
Volumen $795.4 · Liquidez —
September 15
Cerrado- Yes100%
- No0%
Volumen $723 · Liquidez —
September 19
Cerrado- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $634.8 · Liquidez —
September 12
Cerrado- Yes100%
- No0%
Volumen $622.7 · Liquidez —
September 21
Cerrado- Yes100%
- No0%
Volumen $596.5 · Liquidez —
Reglas de resolución
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available on the specified date (ET). Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify. A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare"). A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Cómo leer estas probabilidades
Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.
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