Mercados de predicción de Cultura
Premios, entretenimiento y cultura pop.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31: 5%
Vol. 24h $415K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?
340-359: 28%
Vol. 24h $311.8K · Cierra 20 oct 2026

# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on week 1?
60-80M: 67%
Vol. 24h $169.6K · Cierra 23 oct 2026

Elon Musk # tweets October 17 - October 19, 2026?
65-89: 56%
Vol. 24h $163K · Cierra 19 oct 2026

Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?
260-279: 17%
Vol. 24h $152.2K · Cierra 23 oct 2026

# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
60M+: 95%
Vol. 24h $89.5K · Cierra 1 dic 2026

Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?
280-299: 10%
Vol. 24h $30.8K · Cierra 27 oct 2026

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
The Odyssey: 97%
Vol. 24h $25.2K · Cierra 15 mar 2027

# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
120M+: 98%
Vol. 24h $21.6K · Cierra 1 dic 2026

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No: 99%
Vol. 24h $17.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

"Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office
<8m: 97%
Vol. 24h $16.1K · Cierra 18 oct 2026

"Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office
30-35m: 94%
Vol. 24h $13.8K · Cierra 18 oct 2026

What will be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (October 20)
East of Eden: Limited Series: 97%
Vol. 24h $13.1K · Cierra 21 oct 2026

"Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office
7m-8m: 91%
Vol. 24h $11.2K · Cierra 18 oct 2026

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
Film X: 50%
Vol. 24h $10K · Cierra 1 jul 2027

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?
December 31, 2027: 22%
Vol. 24h $7.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?
$900B-$1.00T: 47%
Vol. 24h $7.2K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

Elon Musk # tweets October 19 - October 21, 2026?
65-89: 30%
Vol. 24h $5.9K · Cierra 21 oct 2026

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
1000+: 98%
Vol. 24h $5.5K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

What will be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (October 20)
Love Is Blind: Boston: 61%
Vol. 24h $5.3K · Cierra 21 oct 2026

Next James Bond actor?
No Bond chosen: 34%
Vol. 24h $5.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Animated Short Film Nominations
God is Shy: 70%
Vol. 24h $5.1K · Cierra 15 mar 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Nominations
The Odyssey: 89%
Vol. 24h $5.1K · Cierra 15 mar 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Original Score Nominations
The Odyssey: 93%
Vol. 24h $4.1K · Cierra 15 mar 2027

"Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office (Tighter Brackets)
30m-33m: 96%
Vol. 24h $3.9K · Cierra 18 oct 2026

#2 US Spotify Song 2026
Earrings – Malcom Todd: 51%
Vol. 24h $3.9K · Cierra 1 feb 2027

"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?
150 - 160m: 91%
Vol. 24h $3.7K · Cierra 31 oct 2026

Oscars 2027: Best Original Song Nominations
La Nieve - The Black Ball: 89%
Vol. 24h $3.3K · Cierra 15 mar 2027

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (October 20)
Placeholder H: 50%
Vol. 24h $3.1K · Cierra 21 oct 2026

Taylor Swift monthly listeners hits __ by October 31?
↑ 107m: 4%
Vol. 24h $2.9K · Cierra 31 oct 2026

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations
Paul Giamatti: 93%
Vol. 24h $2.9K · Cierra 15 mar 2027

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
1: 81%
Vol. 24h $2.8K · Cierra 2 mar 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Makeup and Hairstyling Nominations
Werwulf: 90%
Vol. 24h $2.6K · Cierra 15 mar 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Director Nominations
Christopher Nolan: 96%
Vol. 24h $2.5K · Cierra 15 mar 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Production Design Nominations
The Odyssey: 86%
Vol. 24h $2.4K · Cierra 15 mar 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Costume Design Winner
The Odyssey: 73%
Vol. 24h $2.3K · Cierra 14 mar 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Nominations
NAZA: 88%
Vol. 24h $2.2K · Cierra 15 mar 2027

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?
Kaitlan Collins: 90%
Vol. 24h $2.1K · Cierra 31 oct 2026

Oscars 2027: Best Sound Nominations
Project Hail Mary: 88%
Vol. 24h $2.1K · Cierra 15 mar 2027

Which movie has 3rd biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Toy Story 5: 96%
Vol. 24h $2.1K · Cierra 1 feb 2027

Dancing With The Stars S35: Week 6 Eliminations
Tyler Cameron: 33%
Vol. 24h $2.1K · Cierra 21 oct 2026

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
Matt Damon: 94%
Vol. 24h $2K · Cierra 15 mar 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Actress Nominations
Julianne Moore: 96%
Vol. 24h $2K · Cierra 15 mar 2027

"GTA VI" Metacritic Score?
90+: 96%
Vol. 24h $1.7K · Cierra 31 dic 2026

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday: 56%
Vol. 24h $1.7K · Cierra 1 feb 2027

Top Spotify Artist 2026
Bad Bunny: 86%
Vol. 24h $1.7K · Cierra 1 feb 2027

Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner
You Can See Everything: 74%
Vol. 24h $1.6K · Cierra 1 jul 2027

Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday: 63%
Vol. 24h $1.5K · Cierra 1 feb 2027

