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ThePolyAcademy
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Elon Musk # tweets October 3 - October 5, 2026?

Mercados

  • <40

    • Yes13%
    • No88%

    Volumen $829.7 · Liquidez $6.6K

  • 215-239

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volumen $715 · Liquidez $4.2K

  • 240+

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volumen $715 · Liquidez $4.2K

  • 40-64

    • Yes55%
    • No45%

    Volumen $564.4 · Liquidez $4.2K

  • 165-189

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volumen $150 · Liquidez $5K

  • 140-164

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volumen $50 · Liquidez $5.1K

  • 65-89

    • Yes26%
    • No75%

    Volumen $40.2 · Liquidez $4.9K

  • 90-114

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volumen $19.6 · Liquidez $4.3K

  • 115-139

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volumen $10.1 · Liquidez $5.4K

  • 190-214

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volumen $10 · Liquidez $5.2K

Reglas de resolución

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 3 12:00 PM ET to October 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Cómo leer estas probabilidades

Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.

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