World Prediction Markets
Geopolitics and global events.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
No: 96%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
No: 88%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
No: 97%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Russia military action against EU country by...?
December 31: 12%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Lebanon: 9%
24h vol $2.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Yes: 98%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
No: 95%
24h vol $2.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share?
44%+: 62%
24h vol $2.2K · Ends Oct 4, 2026
Lecornu out as French PM by...?
December 31, 2026: 28%
24h vol $2.1K · Ends Oct 11, 2026
Israel Election: Sami Abu Shehadeh Effectively Banned?
Yes: 79%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends Oct 27, 2026