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Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of December?

Markets

  • Google

    • Yes61%
    • No40%

    Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • OpenAI

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $635.6 · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $547.2 · Liquidity $901.2

  • ByteDance

    • Yes14%
    • No87%

    Volume $217.4 · Liquidity $1.4K

  • Meta

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $129.3 · Liquidity $734.6

  • Luma AI

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $127.3 · Liquidity $723.1

  • Runway

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $122.2 · Liquidity $698.5

  • SpaceXAI

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $118.3 · Liquidity $772.6

  • KlingAI

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $109.3 · Liquidity $642.3

  • Kandinsky

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $98.3 · Liquidity $739.3

  • Lightricks

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $98.3 · Liquidity $811.1

  • Pika

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $98.3 · Liquidity $682.6

  • Genmo AI

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $90.3 · Liquidity $593.5

  • MiniMax

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $89.3 · Liquidity $655

  • Tencent

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $89.3 · Liquidity $756.9

  • Black Forest Labs

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $89.3 · Liquidity $1K

  • Pixverse

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $89.3 · Liquidity $952.3

  • Pruna

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $89.3 · Liquidity $761.3

  • Company A

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company B

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company C

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company D

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company E

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company F

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company G

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company H

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company I

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company J

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company K

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company L

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company M

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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