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Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Markets

  • Anthropic

    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $1M · Liquidity $55.4K

  • OpenAI

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $818.6K · Liquidity $0

  • Meta

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $489.5K · Liquidity $0

  • Google

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $436.4K · Liquidity $0

  • SpaceXAI

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $358K · Liquidity $0

  • DeepSeek

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $187.2K · Liquidity $0

  • Alibaba

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $184.4K · Liquidity $79.4K

  • Z.ai

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $141.7K · Liquidity $0

  • ByteDance

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $91.9K · Liquidity $0

  • Moonshot

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $85.7K · Liquidity $74.7K

  • Tencent

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $71.1K · Liquidity $0

  • Baidu

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $65K · Liquidity $0

  • Nvidia

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $45.4K · Liquidity $101.9K

  • Microsoft

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $44.7K · Liquidity $0

  • Mistral

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $36.3K · Liquidity $104.5K

  • Xiaomi

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $36K · Liquidity $117.3K

  • MiniMax

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $34.4K · Liquidity $0

  • Amazon

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $28.7K · Liquidity $0

  • StepFun

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $22.5K · Liquidity $90.2K

  • Meituan

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $19.6K · Liquidity $0

  • Thinky

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $15.1K · Liquidity $122.2K

  • Company A

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company B

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company C

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company D

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company E

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company F

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company G

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company H

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company I

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Company K

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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