Skip to content

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

Markets

  • Earbuds/Headphones

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volume $125K · Liquidity $492.9

  • Glasses

    • Yes12%
    • No89%

    Volume $67.7K · Liquidity $1.4K

  • Phone

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $62.2K · Liquidity $7K

  • Watch

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $42.9K · Liquidity $2.8K

  • Computer (Laptop/Desktop)

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $39K · Liquidity $2.6K

  • Clip-on device for clothing

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $27.5K · Liquidity $323.4

  • Necklace

    • Yes6%
    • No95%

    Volume $27.3K · Liquidity $3.2K

  • Tablet

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $21.7K · Liquidity $1.7K

  • Ring

    • Yes8%
    • No93%

    Volume $15.7K · Liquidity $4.4K

  • Head-mounted display

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $14.8K · Liquidity $1.5K

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses