Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?
Markets
October 15
- Yes99%
- No1%
Volume $6.2K · Liquidity $3K
October 31
- Yes99%
- No1%
Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $432.6
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution. This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved. The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Tech markets

Next Claude Haiku (4.6+) released on...?
October 7: 100%
24h vol $14.5K · Ends Nov 1, 2026

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
November 30: 47%
24h vol $10.5K · Ends Nov 1, 2026

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
October 14: 23%
24h vol $5.1K · Ends Nov 1, 2026

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?
5+: 24%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends Nov 1, 2026

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by October 31: 76%
24h vol $3.2K · Ends Oct 31, 2026

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?
No release by October 31: 28%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends Oct 31, 2026

Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google: 69%
24h vol $91.5K · Ends Oct 31, 2026

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Company L: 50%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends Oct 31, 2026

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
No release by November 1: 74%
24h vol $17.6K · Ends Nov 1, 2026

OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?
625-675T: 33%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends Oct 26, 2026

OpenAI resumes training on...?
Not resumed by October 20: 64%
24h vol $9.5K · Ends Oct 21, 2026

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 5?
OpenAI: 66%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends Oct 13, 2026

