Politics Prediction Markets
Elections, legislation and political events priced by the crowd.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena Andersson: 78%
24h vol $47.2K · Ends Sep 14, 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
No: 96%
24h vol $39.8K · Ends Nov 1, 2026
Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place
Bia Kicis: 83%
24h vol $36.5K · Ends Oct 5, 2026
CA-36 House Election Winner
Ted Lieu (D): 97%
24h vol $35.5K · Ends Nov 4, 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 94%
24h vol $34.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
No: 100%
24h vol $26.1K · Ends Oct 1, 2026
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
December 31: 70%
24h vol $22.5K · Ends Dec 31, 2026
Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?
No meeting by December 31, 2027: 79%
24h vol $20.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2028
Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Chiang Wan-an: 81%
24h vol $19.4K · Ends Nov 29, 2026
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Abdul El-Sayed (D): 73%
24h vol $17.2K · Ends Nov 3, 2026