Skip to content

What will Mamdani say during next live announcement?

Markets

  • School

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $390.3 · Liquidity $437.9

  • Family

    • Yes90%
    • No10%

    Volume $384.4 · Liquidity $130.1

  • Community

    • Yes76%
    • No25%

    Volume $235.6 · Liquidity $35

  • NYPD

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $211 · Liquidity $138.4

  • Billionaire

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $197.7 · Liquidity $235.4

  • Grocery

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $197.2 · Liquidity $253.8

  • Health

    • Yes37%
    • No63%

    Volume $176.6 · Liquidity $22.3

  • Trump / President

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $174 · Liquidity $159

  • Afford / Affordable / Affordability

    • Yes75%
    • No25%

    Volume $172.4 · Liquidity $38.3

  • Budget

    • Yes6%
    • No95%

    Volume $141.4 · Liquidity $31.5

  • Heat / Weather

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $127.3 · Liquidity $179.8

  • AI / Artificial Intelligence

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $127.3 · Liquidity $157.7

  • Economy / Economic

    • Yes25%
    • No75%

    Volume $100 · Liquidity $37

  • Safe / Safer / Safety

    • Yes45%
    • No55%

    Volume $84.1 · Liquidity $9.8

  • -No Qualifying Event-

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $61 · Liquidity $49

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani says the listed term during his next livestream on the NYC Mayor's Office official YouTube Channel. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If no such announcement happens by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If Mamdani officially ceases to be New York City mayor for any length of time by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers to the first livestream where Zohran Mamdani speaks after market creation from the NYC Mayor's Office ( Any livestream posted to that channel where Zohran Mamdani speaks will qualify. Any livestream posted to that channel where Zohran Mamdani does not speak will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant announcement. For full rules, see:

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses