Taylor Swift "Patient Zero" First Week Streams?
Markets
50m+
- Yes12%
- No89%
Volume $16.3K · Liquidity $290.7
35m+
- Yes99%
- No1%
Volume $13.4K · Liquidity $711.3
70m+
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $11.7K · Liquidity $1.4K
80m+
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $10.9K · Liquidity $600
90m+
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $10.3K · Liquidity $838.8
60m+
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $7.6K · Liquidity $952
40m+
- Yes96%
- No4%
Volume $5.4K · Liquidity $398.8
100m+
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $1.3K
43m+
- Yes87%
- No13%
Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $295.9
45m+
- Yes87%
- No14%
Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $59.6
55m+
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $296.4 · Liquidity $273.7
65m+
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $276.4 · Liquidity $1.3K
47m+
- Yes86%
- No14%
Volume $21.4 · Liquidity $77.7
Resolution rules
"Patient Zero" (Taylor Swift) releases September 25, 2026 as part of "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore." This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Patient Zero"'s cumulative global Spotify streams from its release date (September 25, 2026) through the end of its first week (October 1, 2026) are greater than or equal to the specified amount, as displayed at 12:00 PM ET on October 2, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify's official charts. If this resolution source is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g. Billboard, Luminate) may be used instead. If there is no reliable streaming figure available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
How to read these odds
Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.
More Culture markets

Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?
200-219: 51%
24h vol $441.3K · Ends Oct 2, 2026

Elon Musk # tweets September 28 - September 30, 2026?
40-64: 100%
24h vol $337.6K · Ends Sep 30, 2026

Elon Musk # tweets September 29 - October 6, 2026?
200-219: 27%
24h vol $106.4K · Ends Oct 6, 2026

Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026?
180-199: 25%
24h vol $70.7K · Ends Oct 9, 2026

Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
840-879: 73%
24h vol $64.8K · Ends Oct 1, 2026

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
December 31: 3%
24h vol $47.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

# of views of MrBeast Gaming video week 1?
30–35M: 81%
24h vol $40K · Ends Oct 3, 2026

Next James Bond actor?
Jack Lowden: 43%
24h vol $31.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

# of views of MrBeast Gaming video on day 4?
26.75–27.5M: 100%
24h vol $30K · Ends Sep 30, 2026

Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
No: 99%
24h vol $23.3K · Ends Nov 1, 2026

# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
100M+: 31%
24h vol $20K · Ends Oct 10, 2026

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
No: 99%
24h vol $17.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

