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Nobel Physics Prize Winner 2026

Markets

  • Stéphane Mallat

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $487.4 · Liquidity $2.6K

  • John Pendry

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $425.1 · Liquidity $8.4K

  • Rafi Bistritzer

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $348.4 · Liquidity $9K

  • Michael Berry

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $308.4 · Liquidity $8.6K

  • Ingrid Daubechies

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $290 · Liquidity $6.1K

  • James Eisenstein

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $288.4 · Liquidity $5.5K

  • Carlos Frenk

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $270.8 · Liquidity $5.1K

  • Jainendra Jain

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $269.4 · Liquidity $916.4

  • Sara Seager

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $249.4 · Liquidity $723.8

  • John Preskill

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $228.4 · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Eugene Mele

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $223.4 · Liquidity $8.7K

  • Moty Heiblum

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $208.4 · Liquidity $857.4

  • Pablo Jarillo-Herrero

    • Yes23%
    • No78%

    Volume $206.7 · Liquidity $6.7K

  • Ewine van Dishoeck

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $203.4 · Liquidity $9.9K

  • Federico Capasso

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $200 · Liquidity $8.6K

  • Charles Kane

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $196.4 · Liquidity $792.9

  • Marc Davis

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $169 · Liquidity $9.6K

  • Peter Shor

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $143.4 · Liquidity $1K

  • Yves Meyer

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $129.4 · Liquidity $713.4

  • Yakir Aharonov

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $123.4 · Liquidity $8.1K

  • Simon White

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $114.4 · Liquidity $1.6K

  • Allan MacDonald

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $110.4 · Liquidity $1.2K

  • David Charbonneau

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $70 · Liquidity $8.7K

  • Alexei Kitaev

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $33 · Liquidity $689.7

Resolution rules

The Nobel Prize in Physics is awarded annually by the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. The 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics is scheduled to be announced on October 6, 2026, at 11:45 AM CEST (5:45 AM ET) at the earliest. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed person is named a laureate of the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics in the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The prize may be shared by up to three laureates. A listed person who shares the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics will resolve to "Yes" regardless of how many other laureates are named alongside them. If the 2026 Nobel Prize in Physics is withheld, is reserved for a later year, or has otherwise not been announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, published at however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

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