Skip to content
ThePolyAcademy
ES

Elon Musk # tweets October 12 - October 14, 2026?

Markets

  • 40-64

    • Yes39%
    • No62%

    Volume $596 · Liquidity $2.7K

  • 65-89

    • Yes32%
    • No68%

    Volume $376.1 · Liquidity $1.9K

  • 140-164

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $255 · Liquidity $1.1K

  • 240+

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $246 · Liquidity $1K

  • 215-239

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $141 · Liquidity $869.5

  • <40

    • Yes8%
    • No93%

    Volume $99.5 · Liquidity $2.4K

  • 115-139

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $51.1 · Liquidity $2.6K

  • 190-214

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $36 · Liquidity $680

  • 165-189

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $20 · Liquidity $951.9

  • 90-114

    • Yes11%
    • No90%

    Volume $1.1 · Liquidity $2.2K

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 12 12:00 PM ET to October 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

How to read these odds

Each price runs from $0 to $1 and can be read as the probability the market assigns to an outcome: $0.62 means roughly 62%. Prices move with every trade, so they are a crowd estimate, not a guarantee. Before trading, check the resolution rules above, the volume and the liquidity, and only risk money you can afford to lose.

Probability calculators · Glossary · Free courses

More Culture markets