Crypto Prediction Markets
Price targets, launches and on-chain events across the crypto ecosystem.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Informational only. Not financial or betting advice. Probabilities reflect market prices, not certainties.

Bitcoin above ___ on October 21?
72,000: 100%
24h vol $424.4K · Ends Oct 21, 2026

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
↑ 90,000: 56%
24h vol $275.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
↑ 85,000: 61%
24h vol $180K · Ends Nov 1, 2026

What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?
↓ 82,000: 79%
24h vol $133.3K · Ends Oct 26, 2026

Ethereum above ___ on October 21?
1,900: 100%
24h vol $126.3K · Ends Oct 21, 2026

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
↓ 2,250: 62%
24h vol $111.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

What price will Ethereum hit in October?
↓ 2,400: 87%
24h vol $88.9K · Ends Nov 1, 2026

Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$25M: 52%
24h vol $80.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2028

Bitcoin above ___ on October 22?
72,000: 100%
24h vol $73.8K · Ends Oct 22, 2026

What price will Ethereum hit October 19-25?
↓ 2,400: 74%
24h vol $49.6K · Ends Oct 26, 2026

Ethereum above ___ on October 22?
2,000: 100%
24h vol $39.8K · Ends Oct 22, 2026

Bitcoin above ___ on October 23?
72,000: 100%
24h vol $36.3K · Ends Oct 23, 2026

Total commitments for the 1win ($1w) public sale
$10M: 95%
24h vol $30.3K · Ends Nov 3, 2026

Bitcoin price on October 21?
82,000-84,000: 71%
24h vol $30.1K · Ends Oct 21, 2026

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 21?
↑ 83,000: 81%
24h vol $28.5K · Ends Oct 22, 2026

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 21?
Up: 52%
24h vol $26.5K · Ends Oct 21, 2026

Will Papertrade launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027: 89%
24h vol $26.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2028

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$200M: 98%
24h vol $25.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2028

Ethereum price on October 21?
2,400-2,500: 83%
24h vol $18.7K · Ends Oct 21, 2026

What price will Solana hit in October?
↑ 110: 65%
24h vol $16.2K · Ends Nov 1, 2026

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No: 95%
24h vol $15.6K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027: 99%
24h vol $15K · Ends Jan 1, 2028

What price will XRP hit in October?
↑ 1.40: 57%
24h vol $14.9K · Ends Nov 1, 2026

Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M: 26%
24h vol $13.8K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$50M: 97%
24h vol $12.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2028

First to list tokenized stocks in the US?
Robinhood: 36%
24h vol $11.4K · Ends Jan 1, 2028

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2AM ET
Up: 64%
24h vol $11.3K · Ends Oct 21, 2026

STRC hits $100 by…
December 31: 76%
24h vol $11K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Solana above ___ on October 23?
80: 100%
24h vol $9.7K · Ends Oct 23, 2026

Ethereum above ___ on October 23?
2,100: 100%
24h vol $9.5K · Ends Oct 23, 2026

StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$400M: 2%
24h vol $9.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Bitcoin above ___ on October 26?
72,000: 99%
24h vol $8.1K · Ends Oct 26, 2026

What will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest reach in 2026?
$5B: 30%
24h vol $7.9K · Ends Jan 2, 2027

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
No: 97%
24h vol $7.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Bitcoin above ___ on October 25?
72,000: 99%
24h vol $7.4K · Ends Oct 25, 2026

Axis Robotics FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$50M: 99%
24h vol $7.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2028

What price will XRP hit October 19-25?
↓ 1.30: 56%
24h vol $6.5K · Ends Oct 26, 2026

What price will Ethereum hit on October 21?
↓ 2,400: 42%
24h vol $6.5K · Ends Oct 22, 2026

Ethereum Up or Down on October 21?
Down: 55%
24h vol $6.3K · Ends Oct 21, 2026

Will Axis Robotics launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2026: 100%
24h vol $5.1K · Ends Jan 1, 2028

Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?
December 31, 2027: 73%
24h vol $4.7K · Ends Jan 1, 2028

What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?
↓ 75: 70%
24h vol $4K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will BULK launch a token by ___?
September 30, 2027: 50%
24h vol $3.9K · Ends Jan 1, 2028

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Down: 53%
24h vol $3.8K · Ends Oct 21, 2026

Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
S&P 500: 70%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will 1win launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2026: 84%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$200M: 3%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends Jan 1, 2028

What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?
$1M: 10%
24h vol $3.2K · Ends Jan 1, 2027

