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Next GPT Terra (5.7+) released on...?

{name}: πιθανότητες σε πραγματικό χρόνο

  • November 21

    • Yes5%
    • No96%

    Volume $299.7 · Liquidity $265

  • October 24

    • Yes20%
    • No81%

    Volume $299.7 · Liquidity $2.9K

  • October 25

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $291.7 · Liquidity $351.5

  • November 7

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $281.7 · Liquidity $284.2

  • November 8

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $281.7 · Liquidity $3.3K

  • November 15

    • Yes10%
    • No91%

    Volume $281.7 · Liquidity $247

  • November 14

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $281.7 · Liquidity $3.3K

  • October 31

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $281.7 · Liquidity $265

  • November 1

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $281.7 · Liquidity $254.3

  • October 27

    • Yes11%
    • No90%

    Volume $161.1 · Liquidity $138.1

  • November 5

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $151.3 · Liquidity $88

  • November 24

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $149.1 · Liquidity $82.6

  • No release by November 30

    • Yes13%
    • No88%

    Volume $143.1 · Liquidity $71.7

  • November 13

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $141.3 · Liquidity $136.9

  • October 30

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $141.2 · Liquidity $93.5

  • November 16

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $126.1 · Liquidity $39.2

  • November 22

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $125.1 · Liquidity $70

  • October 28

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $121.2 · Liquidity $87.8

  • November 4

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $121.2 · Liquidity $89.9

  • November 20

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $121.2 · Liquidity $68.5

  • November 23

    • Yes5%
    • No96%

    Volume $121.2 · Liquidity $57.7

  • October 26

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $121.2 · Liquidity $85.9

  • November 27

    • Yes18%
    • No83%

    Volume $121.2 · Liquidity $81.3

  • October 29

    • Yes10%
    • No91%

    Volume $121.1 · Liquidity $140.7

  • On or prior to October 23

    • Yes9%
    • No92%

    Volume $121.1 · Liquidity $98.3

  • November 29

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $120.5 · Liquidity $77

  • November 26

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $109.1 · Liquidity $51.5

  • November 28

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $101.1 · Liquidity $111.1

  • November 9

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $101.1 · Liquidity $74.8

  • November 25

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $101.1 · Liquidity $78.2

  • November 17

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $101.1 · Liquidity $76.6

  • November 18

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $101.1 · Liquidity $74.5

  • November 19

    • Yes12%
    • No89%

    Volume $101.1 · Liquidity $89.6

  • November 30

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $101.1 · Liquidity $104.1

  • November 2

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $101.1 · Liquidity $55.7

  • November 3

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $101.1 · Liquidity $91

  • November 6

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $101.1 · Liquidity $79.5

  • November 10

    • Yes11%
    • No90%

    Volume $101.1 · Liquidity $91.3

  • November 11

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $101.1 · Liquidity $84.6

  • November 12

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $101.1 · Liquidity $64.3

Κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Terra model (5.7+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Πώς να ερμηνεύσεις αυτές τις πιθανότητες

Κάθε τιμή κυμαίνεται από $0 έως $1 και μπορεί να ερμηνευτεί ως η πιθανότητα που αποδίδει η αγορά σε ένα ενδεχόμενο: η τιμή $0.62 αντιστοιχεί σε πιθανότητα περίπου 62%. Οι τιμές αλλάζουν με κάθε συναλλαγή, επομένως αποτελούν συλλογική εκτίμηση και όχι εγγύηση. Πριν κάνεις συναλλαγές, έλεγξε τους παραπάνω κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος, τον όγκο συναλλαγών και τη ρευστότητα. Ρίσκαρε μόνο χρήματα που αντέχεις οικονομικά να χάσεις.

Εργαλεία υπολογισμού πιθανοτήτων · Γλωσσάρι · Δωρεάν μαθήματα

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