Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
{name}: πιθανότητες σε πραγματικό χρόνο
September 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.2M · Liquidity —
August 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $2.6M · Liquidity —
April 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.7M · Liquidity —
December 31
- Yes17%
- No84%
Volume $1.6M · Liquidity $271.9K
July 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.4M · Liquidity $0
May 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.3M · Liquidity —
October 31
- Yes7%
- No94%
Volume $1.2M · Liquidity $214.8K
June 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.2M · Liquidity —
September 15
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $831.1K · Liquidity $0
March 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $330.3K · Liquidity —
June 15
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $221.1K · Liquidity —
June 22
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $129.3K · Liquidity —
Κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait less than or equal to 10 for any date between market creation and the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to or below 10, or once data has been published for the listed date and no such value has been published. If no data has been published for the listed date within 14 calendar days (ET) after that date, this market will resolve based on the data published up to that point. Revisions to previously published data points made before data has been published for the listed date will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from qualifying. Revisions made after data has been published for the listed date will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF PortWatch, specifically the “Arrivals of Ships” data published for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at , including both the chart and downloadable files.
Πώς να ερμηνεύσεις αυτές τις πιθανότητες
Κάθε τιμή κυμαίνεται από $0 έως $1 και μπορεί να ερμηνευτεί ως η πιθανότητα που αποδίδει η αγορά σε ένα ενδεχόμενο: η τιμή $0.62 αντιστοιχεί σε πιθανότητα περίπου 62%. Οι τιμές αλλάζουν με κάθε συναλλαγή, επομένως αποτελούν συλλογική εκτίμηση και όχι εγγύηση. Πριν κάνεις συναλλαγές, έλεγξε τους παραπάνω κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος, τον όγκο συναλλαγών και τη ρευστότητα. Ρίσκαρε μόνο χρήματα που αντέχεις οικονομικά να χάσεις.
Εργαλεία υπολογισμού πιθανοτήτων · Γλωσσάρι · Δωρεάν μαθήματα
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