Μετάβαση στο περιεχόμενο

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

{name}: πιθανότητες σε πραγματικό χρόνο

  • Anduril

    • Yes22%
    • No78%

    Volume $54.5K · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Rigetti

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $27.8K · Liquidity —

  • TSMC

    • Yes12%
    • No89%

    Volume $18.2K · Liquidity $444.4

  • Nvidia

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $18.2K · Liquidity $701.6

  • OpenAI

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $12.2K · Liquidity $530.5

  • Boeing

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $12K · Liquidity $881.8

  • Samsung Electronics

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $10.4K · Liquidity $428.1

  • GlobalFoundries

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $10.2K · Liquidity —

  • Anthropic

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $8.1K · Liquidity $2.3K

  • Pfizer

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $7.1K · Liquidity $1.5K

  • TikTok US / Bytedance

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $6.5K · Liquidity $291.5

  • D-Wave

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $5.7K · Liquidity —

  • IonQ

    • Yes9%
    • No91%

    Volume $5.3K · Liquidity $839.4

  • Palantir

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $5.2K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Eli Lilly

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $4.4K · Liquidity $353.4

  • Lockheed Martin

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $3.9K · Liquidity $750.6

  • Freeport-McMoRan

    • Yes8%
    • No92%

    Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $902.9

  • Micron

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $3K · Liquidity $784.6

  • Unusual Machines

    • Yes35%
    • No66%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $402.7

  • SpaceX

    • Yes8%
    • No93%

    Volume $256.2 · Liquidity $582.5

Κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.

Πώς να ερμηνεύσεις αυτές τις πιθανότητες

Κάθε τιμή κυμαίνεται από $0 έως $1 και μπορεί να ερμηνευτεί ως η πιθανότητα που αποδίδει η αγορά σε ένα ενδεχόμενο: η τιμή $0.62 αντιστοιχεί σε πιθανότητα περίπου 62%. Οι τιμές αλλάζουν με κάθε συναλλαγή, επομένως αποτελούν συλλογική εκτίμηση και όχι εγγύηση. Πριν κάνεις συναλλαγές, έλεγξε τους παραπάνω κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος, τον όγκο συναλλαγών και τη ρευστότητα. Ρίσκαρε μόνο χρήματα που αντέχεις οικονομικά να χάσεις.

Εργαλεία υπολογισμού πιθανοτήτων · Γλωσσάρι · Δωρεάν μαθήματα