Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
{name}: πιθανότητες σε πραγματικό χρόνο
0.0%–0.8%
- Yes29%
- No71%
Volume $16.6K · Liquidity $1.6K
-0.8%–0.0%
- Yes20%
- No80%
Volume $6.8K · Liquidity $1.9K
0.8%–1.6%
- Yes18%
- No83%
Volume $4.9K · Liquidity $689.4
-2.4%– -1.6%
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $4.4K · Liquidity $1.4K
2.4%–3.2%
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $4K · Liquidity $556.1
1.6%–2.4%
- Yes13%
- No87%
Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $637
-1.6%– -0.8%
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $465.4
<-2.4%
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $514.5
3.2%–4.0%
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $714.3
4.0%+
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $815.1 · Liquidity $626.9
Κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος
This market will resolve according to Japan's real gross domestic product growth rate (Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized, %) in the third quarter of 2026, as reported in the Japan Cabinet Office's Quarterly Estimates of GDP (First Preliminary Estimates) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on November 16, 2026. The relevant figure may be found in the summary document, in table 1-1 'Quarterly Real Growth Rate (Seasonally Adjusted Series, Quarter-to-Quarter)' — this figure expresses the quarterly growth rate compounded over four quarters to produce an annualized equivalent. Changes in the Japan Cabinet Office's GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting. The GDP release will be made available here: If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: the resolution source for this market reports Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.1%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see:
Πώς να ερμηνεύσεις αυτές τις πιθανότητες
Κάθε τιμή κυμαίνεται από $0 έως $1 και μπορεί να ερμηνευτεί ως η πιθανότητα που αποδίδει η αγορά σε ένα ενδεχόμενο: η τιμή $0.62 αντιστοιχεί σε πιθανότητα περίπου 62%. Οι τιμές αλλάζουν με κάθε συναλλαγή, επομένως αποτελούν συλλογική εκτίμηση και όχι εγγύηση. Πριν κάνεις συναλλαγές, έλεγξε τους παραπάνω κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος, τον όγκο συναλλαγών και τη ρευστότητα. Ρίσκαρε μόνο χρήματα που αντέχεις οικονομικά να χάσεις.
Εργαλεία υπολογισμού πιθανοτήτων · Γλωσσάρι · Δωρεάν μαθήματα
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