Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
{name}: πιθανότητες σε πραγματικό χρόνο
Josh Hawley
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $44K · Liquidity $15.8K
Mark Warner
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $37.5K · Liquidity $11K
Mike Lee
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $32.7K · Liquidity $8K
Ruben Gallego
- Yes7%
- No94%
Volume $28K · Liquidity $14.4K
Jacky Rosen
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $26.2K · Liquidity $17.2K
Thom Tillis
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volume $25.7K · Liquidity $2.5K
Rand Paul
- Yes7%
- No94%
Volume $24K · Liquidity $9.6K
Alex Padilla
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $17.2K · Liquidity $6.2K
Jerry Moran
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $15.2K · Liquidity $7.9K
John Fetterman
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $12.9K · Liquidity $10K
Catherine Cortez Masto
- Yes10%
- No91%
Volume $7.8K · Liquidity $6K
Kirsten Gillibrand
- Yes8%
- No93%
Volume $7.1K · Liquidity $9.1K
Lisa Blunt Rochester
- Yes7%
- No94%
Volume $6.1K · Liquidity $14.3K
Andy Kim
- Yes8%
- No93%
Volume $4K · Liquidity $9.3K
Raphael Warnock
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $3.6K · Liquidity $10.2K
Κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Senator votes "Yea" on the first Senate vote on final passage of crypto market structure legislation occurring before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, "crypto market structure legislation" is defined identically to Polymarket's "Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?" market: The qualifying vote is the first vote on final passage of the bill in the full Senate - not a committee vote, and not a vote on a motion to proceed, a motion to invoke cloture, or an amendment. This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying vote occurs before January 1, 2027, or if the named Senator does not vote "Yea" on the qualifying vote for any reason - including voting "Nay," voting "Present," being absent, being paired, or no longer serving in the Senate at the time of the vote. Once the vote has closed and the result has been announced, any subsequent request by the named Senator to add, remove, or change their vote will not be considered for purposes of this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally. This market will resolve according to official records of the U.S. Senate ( and Library of Congress (
Πώς να ερμηνεύσεις αυτές τις πιθανότητες
Κάθε τιμή κυμαίνεται από $0 έως $1 και μπορεί να ερμηνευτεί ως η πιθανότητα που αποδίδει η αγορά σε ένα ενδεχόμενο: η τιμή $0.62 αντιστοιχεί σε πιθανότητα περίπου 62%. Οι τιμές αλλάζουν με κάθε συναλλαγή, επομένως αποτελούν συλλογική εκτίμηση και όχι εγγύηση. Πριν κάνεις συναλλαγές, έλεγξε τους παραπάνω κανόνες καθορισμού του αποτελέσματος, τον όγκο συναλλαγών και τη ρευστότητα. Ρίσκαρε μόνο χρήματα που αντέχεις οικονομικά να χάσεις.
Εργαλεία υπολογισμού πιθανοτήτων · Γλωσσάρι · Δωρεάν μαθήματα
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