Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
{name}: aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeiten
No Next Chancellor before 2028
- Yes62%
- No39%
Volume $59.2K · Liquidity $42K
Hendrik Wüst
- Yes14%
- No87%
Volume $8.5K · Liquidity $23.3K
Markus Söder
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $16.2K
Boris Pistorius
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $16.9K
Alice Weidel
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $17.5K
Lars Klingbeil
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $16K
Felix Banaszak
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1K · Liquidity $16.2K
Heidi Reichinnek
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $873.9 · Liquidity $11.9K
Carsten Linnemann
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $828.9 · Liquidity $16K
Sahra Wagenknecht
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $783.8 · Liquidity $12K
Katharina Dröge
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $728.3 · Liquidity $11.9K
Tino Chrupalla
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $652.7 · Liquidity $12K
Jens Spahn
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $528.6 · Liquidity $12K
Person X
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Y
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AD
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AE
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AF
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AG
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AH
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AI
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AJ
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AK
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AL
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AM
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AO
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AP
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Other
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person A
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person B
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person E
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person F
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person G
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person I
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person J
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person K
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person L
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Q
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person R
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person S
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person T
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person U
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person V
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person Z
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AA
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AB
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AC
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AN
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AT
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AU
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AV
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AW
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AX
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AY
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AQ
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AR
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AS
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person C
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person D
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person H
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person M
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person N
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person O
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person P
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person AZ
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person W
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung
Friedrich Merz has served as Chancellor of Germany since May 6, 2025. This market will resolve to the next individual, other than Friedrich Merz, who assumes the office of Chancellor of Germany. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected Chancellor by the Bundestag and appointed by the Federal President. Any acting or caretaker Chancellor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chancellor takes office, or if Friedrich Merz is the next individual elected Chancellor, by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Chancellor before 2028”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Bundestag and the Federal Government of Germany; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
So liest du diese Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Jeder Preis liegt zwischen 0 und 1 US-Dollar und lässt sich als die Wahrscheinlichkeit interpretieren, die der Markt einem Ergebnis zuschreibt: 0,62 US-Dollar entsprechen etwa 62 %. Die Preise ändern sich mit jedem Handel. Sie spiegeln also die gemeinsame Einschätzung der Marktteilnehmer wider und sind keine Garantie. Prüfe vor dem Handel die oben genannten Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung, das Handelsvolumen und die Liquidität. Riskiere nur Geld, dessen Verlust du dir leisten kannst.
Weitere Märkte zu Welt
Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?
Yashar: 56%
24h vol $3K · Ends 30. Juni 2027
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 42%
24h vol $584.5K · Ends 19. Apr. 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
Person I: 50%
24h vol $11.4K · Ends 1. März 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Finance?
Other: 50%
24h vol $8.1K · Ends 1. März 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Justice?
Person J: 50%
24h vol $5.3K · Ends 1. März 2027
Next Israeli Minister of National Security?
Person M: 50%
24h vol $5K · Ends 1. März 2027
El Salvador Legislative Election: 3rd Place
Party R: 50%
24h vol $1.5K · Ends 1. März 2027
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
December 31, 2027: 46%
24h vol $45.3K · Ends 1. Jan. 2027
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
Yes: 62%
24h vol $5K · Ends 1. Jan. 2027
Spain General Election Winner
PP: 85%
24h vol $5.9K · Ends 30. Nov. 2026
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
Kuomintang (KMT): 82%
24h vol $2.2K · Ends 29. Nov. 2026
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 46%
24h vol $279.5K · Ends 28. Okt. 2026