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Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

{name}: aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeiten

  • June 30

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $3.5M · Liquidity —

  • July 31

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $2.2M · Liquidity —

  • May 31

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.5M · Liquidity —

  • August 31

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $669.3K · Liquidity —

  • September 30

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $295.1K · Liquidity —

  • December 31

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $276.1K · Liquidity $53.9K

  • April 30

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $75K · Liquidity —

  • December 31, 2027

    • Yes33%
    • No67%

    Volume $33.4K · Liquidity $26.1K

  • June 30, 2027

    • Yes21%
    • No80%

    Volume $8.1K · Liquidity $13.9K

  • March 31, 2027

    • Yes14%
    • No87%

    Volume $3K · Liquidity $13.2K

Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.

So liest du diese Wahrscheinlichkeiten

Jeder Preis liegt zwischen 0 und 1 US-Dollar und lässt sich als die Wahrscheinlichkeit interpretieren, die der Markt einem Ergebnis zuschreibt: 0,62 US-Dollar entsprechen etwa 62 %. Die Preise ändern sich mit jedem Handel. Sie spiegeln also die gemeinsame Einschätzung der Marktteilnehmer wider und sind keine Garantie. Prüfe vor dem Handel die oben genannten Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung, das Handelsvolumen und die Liquidität. Riskiere nur Geld, dessen Verlust du dir leisten kannst.

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