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ThePolyAcademy
DE

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

{name}: aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeiten

  • Anthropic

    • Yes53%
    • No48%

    Volume $1.4M · Liquidity $19.7K

  • SpaceX

    • Yes47%
    • No54%

    Volume $935.3K · Liquidity $15.1K

  • Kraken

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $667.1K · Liquidity $94.5K

  • Revolut

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $659.1K · Liquidity $62.3K

  • SHEIN

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $634.7K · Liquidity $32K

  • Databricks

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $628.4K · Liquidity $17.5K

  • OpenAI

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $580.3K · Liquidity $104K

  • Waymo

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $344.2K · Liquidity $64.1K

  • ByteDance

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $221.1K · Liquidity $32.2K

  • Discord

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $201.9K · Liquidity $71K

  • Stripe

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $169.3K · Liquidity $23.8K

  • Perplexity AI

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $129.2K · Liquidity $75.4K

  • Placeholder D

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder E

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder F

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder G

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder H

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder I

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder J

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder K

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder T

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder AL

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder BC

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder AQ

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder AR

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder AS

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • xAI

    • Yes26%
    • No75%

    Volume — · Liquidity $360.2

  • Placeholder L

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder M

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder N

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder O

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder P

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder Q

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder R

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder S

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder Y

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder Z

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder AA

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder AB

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder AC

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder AD

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder AE

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder AF

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder AG

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder AH

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder AI

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder AJ

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder AK

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder AM

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder AN

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder AO

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder AP

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder AT

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder AU

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder AV

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder AW

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder AX

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder AY

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder AZ

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder BA

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder BB

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder BG

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder BH

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder A

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder BD

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder BE

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder BF

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder B

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder C

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder U

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder V

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder W

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Placeholder X

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung

This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026. This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day ( If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used. A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

So liest du diese Wahrscheinlichkeiten

Jeder Preis liegt zwischen 0 und 1 US-Dollar und lässt sich als die Wahrscheinlichkeit interpretieren, die der Markt einem Ergebnis zuschreibt: 0,62 US-Dollar entsprechen etwa 62 %. Die Preise ändern sich mit jedem Handel. Sie spiegeln also die gemeinsame Einschätzung der Marktteilnehmer wider und sind keine Garantie. Prüfe vor dem Handel die oben genannten Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung, das Handelsvolumen und die Liquidität. Riskiere nur Geld, dessen Verlust du dir leisten kannst.

Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechner · Glossar · Kostenlose Kurse

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