Japan GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ Annualized)?
{name}: aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeiten
0.0%–0.8%
- Yes29%
- No71%
Volume $16.6K · Liquidity $1.7K
-0.8%–0.0%
- Yes20%
- No80%
Volume $6.8K · Liquidity $1.9K
0.8%–1.6%
- Yes18%
- No83%
Volume $4.9K · Liquidity $880.8
-2.4%– -1.6%
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $4.4K · Liquidity $1.6K
2.4%–3.2%
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $4K · Liquidity $733.9
1.6%–2.4%
- Yes13%
- No87%
Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $906.6
-1.6%– -0.8%
- Yes6%
- No94%
Volume $2.1K · Liquidity $723
<-2.4%
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $765
3.2%–4.0%
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $888.5
4.0%+
- Yes4%
- No97%
Volume $815.1 · Liquidity $1K
Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung
This market will resolve according to Japan's real gross domestic product growth rate (Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized, %) in the third quarter of 2026, as reported in the Japan Cabinet Office's Quarterly Estimates of GDP (First Preliminary Estimates) release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on November 16, 2026. The relevant figure may be found in the summary document, in table 1-1 'Quarterly Real Growth Rate (Seasonally Adjusted Series, Quarter-to-Quarter)' — this figure expresses the quarterly growth rate compounded over four quarters to produce an annualized equivalent. Changes in the Japan Cabinet Office's GDP reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting. The GDP release will be made available here: If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: the resolution source for this market reports Quarter-over-Quarter Annualized GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.1%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see:
So liest du diese Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Jeder Preis liegt zwischen 0 und 1 US-Dollar und lässt sich als die Wahrscheinlichkeit interpretieren, die der Markt einem Ergebnis zuschreibt: 0,62 US-Dollar entsprechen etwa 62 %. Die Preise ändern sich mit jedem Handel. Sie spiegeln also die gemeinsame Einschätzung der Marktteilnehmer wider und sind keine Garantie. Prüfe vor dem Handel die oben genannten Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung, das Handelsvolumen und die Liquidität. Riskiere nur Geld, dessen Verlust du dir leisten kannst.
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