Zum Inhalt springen

How high will inflation get in 2026?

{name}: aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeiten

  • Above 5%

    • Yes9%
    • No92%

    Volume $339.7K · Liquidity $18.7K

  • Above 4%

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $292.4K · Liquidity —

  • Above 3%

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $280K · Liquidity —

  • Above 4.5%

    • Yes20%
    • No81%

    Volume $226.4K · Liquidity $3.4K

  • Above 3.5%

    Closed
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volume $176.7K · Liquidity —

  • Above 6%

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $69.8K · Liquidity $4.8K

  • Above 10%

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $60.2K · Liquidity $13.7K

  • Above 8%

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $42.1K · Liquidity $5.3K

Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 ( Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

So liest du diese Wahrscheinlichkeiten

Jeder Preis liegt zwischen 0 und 1 US-Dollar und lässt sich als die Wahrscheinlichkeit interpretieren, die der Markt einem Ergebnis zuschreibt: 0,62 US-Dollar entsprechen etwa 62 %. Die Preise ändern sich mit jedem Handel. Sie spiegeln also die gemeinsame Einschätzung der Marktteilnehmer wider und sind keine Garantie. Prüfe vor dem Handel die oben genannten Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung, das Handelsvolumen und die Liquidität. Riskiere nur Geld, dessen Verlust du dir leisten kannst.

Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechner · Glossar · Kostenlose Kurse