Bank of Russia decision in December?
{name}: aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeiten
25 bps decrease
- Yes42%
- No59%
Volume $5K · Liquidity $2.9K
No change
- Yes49%
- No52%
Volume $2.8K · Liquidity $2.5K
50+ bps decrease
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $364.9 · Liquidity $1.8K
50+ bps increase
- Yes7%
- No94%
Volume $215.5 · Liquidity $3.1K
25 bps increase
- Yes7%
- No94%
Volume $190.6 · Liquidity $2.9K
Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the key rate resulting from the December 2026 meeting of the Bank of Russia, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Russia, including the statement or release from its December 2026 meeting, scheduled for December 18, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar ( This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Russia resulting from its December 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
So liest du diese Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Jeder Preis liegt zwischen 0 und 1 US-Dollar und lässt sich als die Wahrscheinlichkeit interpretieren, die der Markt einem Ergebnis zuschreibt: 0,62 US-Dollar entsprechen etwa 62 %. Die Preise ändern sich mit jedem Handel. Sie spiegeln also die gemeinsame Einschätzung der Marktteilnehmer wider und sind keine Garantie. Prüfe vor dem Handel die oben genannten Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung, das Handelsvolumen und die Liquidität. Riskiere nur Geld, dessen Verlust du dir leisten kannst.
Weitere Märkte zu Wirtschaft

Bank of Russia decision in October?
No Change: 90%
24h vol $1.2K · Ends 24. Okt. 2026

Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 76%
24h vol $63.8K · Ends 10. Dez. 2026

Swiss National Bank decision in December?
No Change: 75%
24h vol $23.8K · Ends 10. Dez. 2026

Bank of Canada Decision in December?
No Change: 53%
24h vol $1K · Ends 9. Dez. 2026

People's Bank of China rate change by December 31?
No Change: 89%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 31. Dez. 2026

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
Yes: 69%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 1. Jan. 2027

Mexico Annual Inflation 2026
3.50% to 3.99%: 60%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends 9. Jan. 2027

Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
30.0-34.9%: 61%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends 11. Jan. 2027

South Africa Annual Inflation 2026
>5.0%: 75%
24h vol $2K · Ends 21. Jan. 2027

Fed Decision in January?
No change: 65%
24h vol $49.9K · Ends 28. Jan. 2027

October Unemployment Rate
4.2%: 37%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends 6. Nov. 2026

China Annual GDP Growth 2026
4.0–5.0%: 96%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends 1. Feb. 2027

