Zum Inhalt springen

Bank of Korea decision in October?

{name}: aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeiten

  • 25 bps hike

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $17.6K · Liquidity $4.4K

  • No Change

    • Yes97%
    • No3%

    Volume $15.9K · Liquidity $1.9K

  • 50+ bps hike

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $3.3K · Liquidity $4.8K

  • 25 bps cut

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $2.8K · Liquidity $5.3K

  • 50+ bps cut

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $4.8K

Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar ( This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.

So liest du diese Wahrscheinlichkeiten

Jeder Preis liegt zwischen 0 und 1 US-Dollar und lässt sich als die Wahrscheinlichkeit interpretieren, die der Markt einem Ergebnis zuschreibt: 0,62 US-Dollar entsprechen etwa 62 %. Die Preise ändern sich mit jedem Handel. Sie spiegeln also die gemeinsame Einschätzung der Marktteilnehmer wider und sind keine Garantie. Prüfe vor dem Handel die oben genannten Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung, das Handelsvolumen und die Liquidität. Riskiere nur Geld, dessen Verlust du dir leisten kannst.

Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechner · Glossar · Kostenlose Kurse