Zum Inhalt springen

Nobel Economics Prize Winner 2026

{name}: aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeiten

  • Ariel Pakes

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volume $17.4K · Liquidity $1K

  • Susan Athey

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $14.3K · Liquidity $2.1K

  • Partha Dasgupta

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $8.7K · Liquidity $747.7

  • Richard Blundell

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $8.6K · Liquidity $2.2K

  • Javier Milei

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $7.9K · Liquidity $2.1K

  • Lawrence Katz

    • Yes37%
    • No63%

    Volume $6.5K · Liquidity $102.4

  • Luigi Zingales

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $4.8K · Liquidity $686.3

  • Robert Barro

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $4.4K · Liquidity $2.2K

  • Andreu Mas-Colell

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $4.3K · Liquidity $820.9

  • Matthew Rabin

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $4.2K · Liquidity $274.3

  • David Autor

    • Yes35%
    • No65%

    Volume $3.2K · Liquidity $275

  • Michael Woodford

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $520.7

  • Sidney Winter

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $340

  • Demian Reidel

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $610.2

  • Ernst Fehr

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $1.6K

  • Hal Varian

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $1.5K

  • Victor Chernozhukov

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $914.3 · Liquidity $248.3

Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung

The Nobel Prize in Economics is awarded annually by the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. The 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics is scheduled to be announced on October 12, 2026, at 11:45 AM CEST (5:45 AM ET) at the earliest. The Nobel Prize in Economics means the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed person is named a laureate of the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics in the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The prize may be shared by up to three laureates. A listed person who shares the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics will resolve to "Yes" regardless of how many other laureates are named alongside them. If the 2026 Nobel Prize in Economics is withheld, is reserved for a later year, or has otherwise not been announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences, published at however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

So liest du diese Wahrscheinlichkeiten

Jeder Preis liegt zwischen 0 und 1 US-Dollar und lässt sich als die Wahrscheinlichkeit interpretieren, die der Markt einem Ergebnis zuschreibt: 0,62 US-Dollar entsprechen etwa 62 %. Die Preise ändern sich mit jedem Handel. Sie spiegeln also die gemeinsame Einschätzung der Marktteilnehmer wider und sind keine Garantie. Prüfe vor dem Handel die oben genannten Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung, das Handelsvolumen und die Liquidität. Riskiere nur Geld, dessen Verlust du dir leisten kannst.

Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechner · Glossar · Kostenlose Kurse