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ThePolyAcademy
DE

Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?

{name}: aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeiten

  • 120-139

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $6.2K · Liquidity $12K

  • 480-499

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $4.3K · Liquidity $6.1K

  • 500+

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $4K · Liquidity $6.3K

  • 60-79

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $13K

  • 240-259

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $3.7K · Liquidity $6.5K

  • 100-119

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $3.5K · Liquidity $13.3K

  • 400-419

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $2.8K · Liquidity $5.5K

  • 220-239

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $2.6K · Liquidity $7.9K

  • 340-359

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $5.3K

  • 180-199

    • Yes11%
    • No90%

    Volume $2.4K · Liquidity $7.6K

  • 80-99

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $2.2K · Liquidity $13.6K

  • 440-459

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $6.3K

  • 320-339

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $6.4K

  • 460-479

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $6.3K

  • 380-399

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $1.7K · Liquidity $5.1K

  • 260-279

    • Yes13%
    • No88%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $8.5K

  • 420-439

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $6.1K

  • 200-219

    • Yes13%
    • No87%

    Volume $1.5K · Liquidity $9.6K

  • <20

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $14.8K

  • 160-179

    • Yes6%
    • No95%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $6.6K

  • 140-159

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $7.5K

  • 280-299

    • Yes8%
    • No93%

    Volume $930.7 · Liquidity $7.5K

  • 360-379

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $576.1 · Liquidity $5.7K

  • 300-319

    • Yes7%
    • No94%

    Volume $426.6 · Liquidity $6.8K

  • 20-39

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $255 · Liquidity $5.5K

  • 40-59

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $105 · Liquidity $7.3K

Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 13 12:00 PM ET to October 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

So liest du diese Wahrscheinlichkeiten

Jeder Preis liegt zwischen 0 und 1 US-Dollar und lässt sich als die Wahrscheinlichkeit interpretieren, die der Markt einem Ergebnis zuschreibt: 0,62 US-Dollar entsprechen etwa 62 %. Die Preise ändern sich mit jedem Handel. Sie spiegeln also die gemeinsame Einschätzung der Marktteilnehmer wider und sind keine Garantie. Prüfe vor dem Handel die oben genannten Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung, das Handelsvolumen und die Liquidität. Riskiere nur Geld, dessen Verlust du dir leisten kannst.

Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechner · Glossar · Kostenlose Kurse

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