Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
{name}: aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Josh Hawley
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $44K · Liquidity $16.7K
Mark Warner
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $37.5K · Liquidity $11K
Mike Lee
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $32.7K · Liquidity $8K
Ruben Gallego
- Yes7%
- No94%
Volume $28K · Liquidity $14.5K
Jacky Rosen
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $26.2K · Liquidity $17K
Thom Tillis
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volume $25.7K · Liquidity $2.4K
Rand Paul
- Yes7%
- No94%
Volume $24K · Liquidity $9.7K
Alex Padilla
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $17.2K · Liquidity $7.6K
Jerry Moran
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $15.2K · Liquidity $8.2K
John Fetterman
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $12.9K · Liquidity $10.3K
Catherine Cortez Masto
- Yes10%
- No91%
Volume $7.8K · Liquidity $8.1K
Kirsten Gillibrand
- Yes8%
- No93%
Volume $7.1K · Liquidity $9.1K
Lisa Blunt Rochester
- Yes7%
- No94%
Volume $6.1K · Liquidity $18.7K
Andy Kim
- Yes8%
- No92%
Volume $4K · Liquidity $9K
Raphael Warnock
- Yes9%
- No91%
Volume $3.6K · Liquidity $10.2K
Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Senator votes "Yea" on the first Senate vote on final passage of crypto market structure legislation occurring before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, "crypto market structure legislation" is defined identically to Polymarket's "Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?" market: The qualifying vote is the first vote on final passage of the bill in the full Senate - not a committee vote, and not a vote on a motion to proceed, a motion to invoke cloture, or an amendment. This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying vote occurs before January 1, 2027, or if the named Senator does not vote "Yea" on the qualifying vote for any reason - including voting "Nay," voting "Present," being absent, being paired, or no longer serving in the Senate at the time of the vote. Once the vote has closed and the result has been announced, any subsequent request by the named Senator to add, remove, or change their vote will not be considered for purposes of this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally. This market will resolve according to official records of the U.S. Senate ( and Library of Congress (
So liest du diese Wahrscheinlichkeiten
Jeder Preis liegt zwischen 0 und 1 US-Dollar und lässt sich als die Wahrscheinlichkeit interpretieren, die der Markt einem Ergebnis zuschreibt: 0,62 US-Dollar entsprechen etwa 62 %. Die Preise ändern sich mit jedem Handel. Sie spiegeln also die gemeinsame Einschätzung der Marktteilnehmer wider und sind keine Garantie. Prüfe vor dem Handel die oben genannten Regeln zur Ergebnisfeststellung, das Handelsvolumen und die Liquidität. Riskiere nur Geld, dessen Verlust du dir leisten kannst.
Weitere Märkte zu Krypto

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No: 94%
24h vol $67.4K · Ends 1. Jan. 2027

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
↑ 90,000: 56%
24h vol $166.9K · Ends 1. Jan. 2027

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
↓ 2,250: 53%
24h vol $31.5K · Ends 1. Jan. 2027

Ink FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$100M: 14%
24h vol $11K · Ends 1. Jan. 2027

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
No: 97%
24h vol $10.5K · Ends 1. Jan. 2027

What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026?
↓ 75: 76%
24h vol $7.6K · Ends 1. Jan. 2027

What price will Solana hit in 2026?
↓ 90: 51%
24h vol $7.5K · Ends 1. Jan. 2027

What price will XRP hit in 2026?
↓ 1.20: 70%
24h vol $5.7K · Ends 1. Jan. 2027

Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$150M: 71%
24h vol $5.1K · Ends 1. Jan. 2027

Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?
No: 96%
24h vol $3.9K · Ends 1. Jan. 2027

STRC hits $100 by…
December 31: 94%
24h vol $19K · Ends 1. Jan. 2027

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
↓ 80,000: 78%
24h vol $429.3K · Ends 1. Nov. 2026

