Svět Prediction Markets
Geopolitika a světové události.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Každá cena se pohybuje od 0 do 1 USD a lze ji chápat jako pravděpodobnost, kterou trh přisuzuje danému výsledku: 0,62 USD znamená přibližně 62 %. Ceny se mění s každým obchodem, takže jde o kolektivní odhad, nikoli záruku. Než začnete obchodovat, zkontrolujte výše uvedená pravidla vyhodnocení, objem obchodů a likviditu. Riskujte jen peníze, které si můžete dovolit ztratit.
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 42%
24h vol $573.1K · Ends 19. 4. 2027
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 83%
24h vol $402.6K · Ends 1. 1. 2027
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 46%
24h vol $260.5K · Ends 28. 10. 2026
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro: 87%
24h vol $188.5K · Ends 26. 10. 2026
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
24h vol $170.1K · Ends 26. 10. 2026
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31: 26%
24h vol $142.1K · Ends 3. 1. 2027
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 15: 97%
24h vol $131.7K · Ends 31. 12. 2026
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31: 8%
24h vol $69.1K · Ends 1. 1. 2027
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
June 30, 2027: 9%
24h vol $65K · Ends 1. 7. 2027
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No: 98%
24h vol $55.6K · Ends 1. 1. 2027
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
December 31, 2027: 46%
24h vol $45.2K · Ends 1. 1. 2027
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No: 97%
24h vol $38.1K · Ends 1. 1. 2027
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31: 13%
24h vol $33.6K · Ends 31. 12. 2026
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
No: 96%
24h vol $28.8K · Ends 1. 1. 2027
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31: 14%
24h vol $26.2K · Ends 1. 1. 2027
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
December 31: 36%
24h vol $22.6K · Ends 1. 11. 2026
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027: 10%
24h vol $21.9K · Ends 1. 7. 2027
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
No change: 78%
24h vol $20.7K · Ends 4. 11. 2026
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 31: 22%
24h vol $20.4K · Ends 1. 1. 2027
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
December 31: 25%
24h vol $15.3K · Ends 1. 1. 2027
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31: 78%
24h vol $15K · Ends 1. 1. 2027
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No: 95%
24h vol $14.7K · Ends 1. 1. 2027
Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?
No meeting by December 31, 2027: 83%
24h vol $12.8K · Ends 1. 1. 2028
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No: 73%
24h vol $12.7K · Ends 1. 1. 2027
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
October 13: 100%
24h vol $12.1K · Ends 1. 11. 2026
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027: 96%
24h vol $11.9K · Ends 1. 1. 2027
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
Druzkhivka: 35%
24h vol $11.5K · Ends 1. 1. 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
Person L: 50%
24h vol $10.5K · Ends 1. 3. 2027
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei: 88%
24h vol $9.9K · Ends 31. 12. 2026
Next Israeli Minister of Finance?
Other: 50%
24h vol $9.7K · Ends 1. 3. 2027
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China: 77%
24h vol $9.5K · Ends 1. 1. 2027
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 95%
24h vol $9.2K · Ends 1. 1. 2027
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
24h vol $8.6K · Ends 26. 10. 2026
Iran full airspace closure by...?
December 31: 30%
24h vol $8.1K · Ends 1. 1. 2027
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Vladimir Putin: 80%
24h vol $7.9K · Ends 1. 1. 2027
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in October 2026?
3: 59%
24h vol $7.4K · Ends 1. 11. 2026
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
No Next Chancellor before 2028: 62%
24h vol $6.9K · Ends 1. 1. 2028
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by...?
Yes: 58%
24h vol $6.7K · Ends 1. 1. 2027
Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?
December 31: 27%
24h vol $6.7K · Ends 31. 12. 2026
Iran Nuke before 2027?
No: 97%
24h vol $6.3K · Ends 1. 1. 2027
Spain General Election Winner
PP: 86%
24h vol $5.9K · Ends 30. 11. 2026
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
No: 97%
24h vol $5K · Ends 1. 1. 2027
Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory
Remain 40–60%: 67%
24h vol $4.9K · Ends 20. 10. 2026
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?
Yes: 60%
24h vol $4.8K · Ends 1. 1. 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Justice?
Person J: 50%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends 1. 3. 2027
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027
Donald Trump: 9%
24h vol $4.3K · Ends 1. 4. 2028
Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova: 88%
24h vol $4.2K · Ends 26. 10. 2026
French Presidential Election First Round Winner
Marine Le Pen: 82%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends 18. 4. 2027