Politika Prediction Markets
Volby, legislativa a politické události tak, jak je oceňuje trh.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Každá cena se pohybuje od 0 do 1 USD a lze ji chápat jako pravděpodobnost, kterou trh přisuzuje danému výsledku: 0,62 USD znamená přibližně 62 %. Ceny se mění s každým obchodem, takže jde o kolektivní odhad, nikoli záruku. Než začnete obchodovat, zkontrolujte výše uvedená pravidla vyhodnocení, objem obchodů a likviditu. Riskujte jen peníze, které si můžete dovolit ztratit.
Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Chiang Wan-an: 66%
24h vol $24.6K · Ends 29. 11. 2026
Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Luca Niculescu: 60%
24h vol $22.9K · Ends 1. 1. 2028
Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
No Hormuz Agreement: 84%
24h vol $21.5K · Ends 4. 11. 2026
Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?
December 31: 14%
24h vol $20.4K · Ends 1. 1. 2027
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?
100-119: 41%
24h vol $20.2K · Ends 13. 10. 2026
NY-23 House Election Winner
Nick Langworthy (R): 95%
24h vol $19.4K · Ends 4. 11. 2026
Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?
December 31: 17%
24h vol $18.9K · Ends 1. 1. 2027
MO-02 House Election Winner
Ann Wagner (R): 77%
24h vol $18.8K · Ends 4. 11. 2026
Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?
No Hormuz Agreement; R Senate: 31%
24h vol $17.7K · Ends 4. 11. 2026
GA-11 House Election Winner
John Cowan (R): 96%
24h vol $17.6K · Ends 4. 11. 2026
Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
Olivia Chow: 72%
24h vol $17K · Ends 27. 10. 2026
Iowa Governor Election Winner
Rob Sand (D): 89%
24h vol $16.7K · Ends 4. 11. 2026
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará
Lula: 81%
24h vol $15.9K · Ends 26. 10. 2026
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤47: 39%
24h vol $15.3K · Ends 3. 11. 2026
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No: 76%
24h vol $14.9K · Ends 4. 11. 2026
Ohio Senate Election Winner
Sherrod Brown (D): 62%
24h vol $14.1K · Ends 4. 11. 2026
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
Yes: 78%
24h vol $14.1K · Ends 4. 11. 2026
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro: 72%
24h vol $13.9K · Ends 1. 1. 2027
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
No: 97%
24h vol $13.7K · Ends 1. 1. 2027
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
No: 99%
24h vol $13K · Ends 1. 11. 2026
Alabama Governor Election Winner
Tommy Tuberville (R): 94%
24h vol $12.6K · Ends 4. 11. 2026
Arizona Governor Election Winner
Katie Hobbs (D): 89%
24h vol $12.6K · Ends 4. 11. 2026
TN-04 House Election Winner
Scott DesJarlais (R): 96%
24h vol $12.3K · Ends 4. 11. 2026
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Mary Peltola: 73%
24h vol $12.2K · Ends 4. 11. 2026
House favorite on November 2 wins the election?
Yes: 92%
24h vol $12K · Ends 4. 11. 2026
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?
December 31: 53%
24h vol $11.9K · Ends 31. 12. 2026
MT-01 House Election Winner
Aaron Flint (R): 70%
24h vol $11.5K · Ends 4. 11. 2026
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31, 2026: 46%
24h vol $11.3K · Ends 31. 12. 2026
NC-08 House Election Winner
Mark Harris (R): 97%
24h vol $11.2K · Ends 4. 11. 2026
Nebraska Senate Election Winner
Pete Ricketts (R): 73%
24h vol $11.1K · Ends 4. 11. 2026
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?
47–49 and 193–207: 24%
24h vol $10.7K · Ends 4. 11. 2026
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?
140-159: 25%
24h vol $10.7K · Ends 16. 10. 2026
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?
November 30: 57%
24h vol $10.6K · Ends 30. 11. 2026
Trump out as President before 2027?
No: 96%
24h vol $10.3K · Ends 1. 1. 2027
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
No: 94%
24h vol $10.3K · Ends 1. 11. 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?
No: 99%
24h vol $10.3K · Ends 1. 11. 2026
Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?
No Meeting by December 31: 53%
24h vol $9.6K · Ends 31. 12. 2026
Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by...?
December 31: 78%
24h vol $9.4K · Ends 1. 1. 2027
Ilhan Omar arrested by...?
December 31: 18%
24h vol $9.4K · Ends 1. 1. 2027
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Marine Le Pen: 89%
24h vol $9.4K · Ends 19. 4. 2027
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
No: 78%
24h vol $8.9K · Ends 1. 1. 2027
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
No: 94%
24h vol $8.7K · Ends 1. 12. 2026
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Abbas Araghchi: 43%
24h vol $8.2K · Ends 1. 1. 2027
Maine Senate Election Winner
Troy Jackson (D): 60%
24h vol $7.6K · Ends 4. 11. 2026
MN-05 House Election Winner
Ilhan Omar (D): 94%
24h vol $7.5K · Ends 4. 11. 2026
NY-24 House Election Winner
Claudia Tenney (R): 97%
24h vol $7.1K · Ends 4. 11. 2026
NM-02 House Election Winner
Gabe Vasquez (D): 92%
24h vol $7.1K · Ends 4. 11. 2026
TX-35 House Election Winner
Johnny Garcia (D): 59%
24h vol $6.8K · Ends 4. 11. 2026