Iran leadership change by...?
{name}: aktuální kurzy
December 31
- Yes11%
- No90%
Volume $5.1M · Liquidity $171.7K
April 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5M · Liquidity —
June 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.4M · Liquidity —
May 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $3.4M · Liquidity —
March 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $3.2M · Liquidity —
September 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.7M · Liquidity —
August 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.6M · Liquidity —
July 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.6M · Liquidity —
October 31
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $585.7K · Liquidity $88.7K
June 30, 2027
- Yes21%
- No80%
Volume $368.1K · Liquidity $91K
November 30
- Yes6%
- No95%
Volume $156.7K · Liquidity $122.7K
August 22
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $79.5K · Liquidity —
August 15
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $61.8K · Liquidity —
March 13
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume — · Liquidity —
Pravidla vyhodnocení
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Jak tyto kurzy číst
Každá cena se pohybuje od 0 do 1 USD a lze ji chápat jako pravděpodobnost, kterou trh přisuzuje danému výsledku: 0,62 USD znamená přibližně 62 %. Ceny se mění s každým obchodem, takže jde o kolektivní odhad, nikoli záruku. Než začnete obchodovat, zkontrolujte výše uvedená pravidla vyhodnocení, objem obchodů a likviditu. Riskujte jen peníze, které si můžete dovolit ztratit.
Kalkulačky pravděpodobnosti · Slovník pojmů · Bezplatné kurzy
Další trhy: Politika

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 83%
24h vol $321.6K · Ends 1. 1. 2027

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 31: 68%
24h vol $271.6K · Ends 1. 1. 2027

Saudi airspace closed by...?
December 31: 17%
24h vol $42.6K · Ends 1. 1. 2027

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 31: 17%
24h vol $35.6K · Ends 1. 1. 2027

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?
December 31: 48%
24h vol $32.3K · Ends 1. 1. 2027

Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?
December 31: 14%
24h vol $20.2K · Ends 1. 1. 2027

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Abbas Araghchi: 43%
24h vol $8.2K · Ends 1. 1. 2027

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31, 2026: 46%
24h vol $11.3K · Ends 31. 12. 2026

Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?
No Meeting by December 31: 53%
24h vol $9.6K · Ends 31. 12. 2026

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
No: 94%
24h vol $8.7K · Ends 1. 12. 2026

Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?
November 30: 57%
24h vol $10.5K · Ends 30. 11. 2026

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
No Hormuz Agreement: 89%
24h vol $429.2K · Ends 4. 11. 2026

