Fed rate cut by...?
{name}: aktuální kurzy
June Meeting
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $785K · Liquidity —
September 2026 Meeting
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $645.1K · Liquidity —
January Meeting
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $588.1K · Liquidity —
July Meeting
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $579.1K · Liquidity —
April Meeting
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $543K · Liquidity —
December 2026 Meeting
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $407.2K · Liquidity $59.9K
October 2026 Meeting
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $214.8K · Liquidity $94K
January 2027 Meeting
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $27.7K
March 2027 Meeting
- Yes17%
- No83%
Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $12K
July 2027 Meeting
- Yes54%
- No47%
Volume $114.9 · Liquidity $6.2K
April 2027 Meeting
- Yes33%
- No68%
Volume $50 · Liquidity $6.8K
June 2027 Meeting
- Yes37%
- No64%
Volume $27.3 · Liquidity $4.9K
March Meeting
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume — · Liquidity —
Pravidla vyhodnocení
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve ( however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Jak tyto kurzy číst
Každá cena se pohybuje od 0 do 1 USD a lze ji chápat jako pravděpodobnost, kterou trh přisuzuje danému výsledku: 0,62 USD znamená přibližně 62 %. Ceny se mění s každým obchodem, takže jde o kolektivní odhad, nikoli záruku. Než začnete obchodovat, zkontrolujte výše uvedená pravidla vyhodnocení, objem obchodů a likviditu. Riskujte jen peníze, které si můžete dovolit ztratit.
Kalkulačky pravděpodobnosti · Slovník pojmů · Bezplatné kurzy
Další trhy: Ekonomika

Fed Decision in January?
No change: 66%
24h vol $2.2K · Ends 28. 1. 2027

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause: 63%
24h vol $630.7 · Ends 27. 1. 2027

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 96%
24h vol $25.3K · Ends 1. 1. 2027

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.4%: 60%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends 1. 1. 2027

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%: 79%
24h vol $2K · Ends 31. 12. 2026

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 77%
24h vol $33.4K · Ends 10. 12. 2026

Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 75%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends 10. 12. 2026

Swiss National Bank decision in December?
No Change: 68%
24h vol $22.7K · Ends 10. 12. 2026

Reserve Bank of India decision in December
25 bps increase: 68%
24h vol $727.8 · Ends 4. 12. 2026

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
5.32%: 62%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 1. 11. 2026

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
≥3.0%: 65%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 30. 10. 2026

Fed Decision in October?
No change: 84%
24h vol $316.5K · Ends 29. 10. 2026

